La escuela de los momios

Miami (OH) RedHawks v Massachusetts Minutemen

Inicio: 2026-03-12 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local)

Predicción 73.09%1.37momio equitativo
EV +0.127%
Ventaja +0.093%
Kelly +0.343%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.52%72.85%73.18%76.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.321.311.3779.37%75.90%76.34%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Massachusetts Minutemen (Visitante)

Predicción 26.91%3.72momio equitativo
EV +9.81%
Ventaja +2.40%
Kelly +3.19%
Crecimiento +0.313%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.60%27.15%26.82%31.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.963.403.384.0833.78%29.43%29.63%24.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -7.91%E -6.28%K -30.43%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV +9.81%E +2.40%K +3.19%G +0.313%3.9%2026-03-12 14:40
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +2.28%E +0.599%K +0.813%G +0.018%3.8%2026-03-12 14:55
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +2.28%E +0.599%K +0.813%G +0.018%3.8%2026-03-12 14:50
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +2.28%E +0.599%K +0.813%G +0.018%3.8%2026-03-12 14:50
Everygame1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +2.28%E +0.599%K +0.813%G +0.018%3.8%2026-03-12 14:54
Caesars1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -6.45%E -5.04%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +1.74%E +0.460%K +0.625%G +0.011%4.6%2026-03-12 14:55
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.91%E -6.28%K -30.43%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV +0.122%E +0.033%K +0.045%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 08:40
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.76%E -0.483%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 14:52
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.11%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 14:55
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.11%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 14:50
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.11%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 14:55
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.11%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.11%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 14:50
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.45%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 14:55
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.45%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 14:55
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 14:55
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 06:49
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.45%E -5.04%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 14:55
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 14:55
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 14:55
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.45%E -5.04%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 14:50
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.45%E -5.04%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 14:55
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 14:55
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.07%E -1.54%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 14:50
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.07%E -1.54%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.80%E -2.10%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 14:50
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.80%E -2.10%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 14:55
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 14:55
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -0.604%E -0.444%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -13.87%E -4.34%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 14:54
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV +0.127%E +0.093%K +0.343%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -15.22%E -4.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 14:50
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV +0.127%E +0.093%K +0.343%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -15.22%E -4.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 14:50
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.604%E -0.444%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -15.22%E -4.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 14:55
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.604%E -0.444%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -15.22%E -4.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 14:50
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.604%E -0.444%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -15.22%E -4.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 14:50
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.604%E -0.444%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -15.22%E -4.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 14:50
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.604%E -0.444%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -15.22%E -4.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 14:50
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.604%E -0.444%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -15.22%E -4.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 14:55
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.604%E -0.444%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -15.22%E -4.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 14:55
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -1.33%E -0.989%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -15.22%E -4.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.33%E -0.989%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -16.56%E -5.34%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 14:50
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.33%E -0.989%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -16.56%E -5.34%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -16.56%E -5.34%K -7.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 14:50
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -4.99%E -3.84%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -16.56%E -5.34%K -7.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 14:55
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -0.604%E -0.444%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -20.33%E -6.87%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 14:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-03-12 14:55
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-12 14:50
BetOpenly1.30I 76.92%NM 76.19%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.81%1.0%2026-03-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-03-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-03-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-03-12 14:55
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-12 14:55
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-03-12 14:55