默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami (OH) RedHawks v Bellarmine Knights

开赛时间： 2026-11-07 22:03 UTC

最终结果： Miami (OH) RedHawks 80–73 Bellarmine Knights

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

94%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami (OH) RedHawks (主队)

预测 93.55%1.07公平赔率

EV -2.70%

优势 -2.60%

Kelly -67.62%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.04

博彩公司预测分布

91.36%93.42%93.82%94.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.011.021.021.0499.01%97.87%98.04%96.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bellarmine Knights (客队)

预测 6.45%15.51公平赔率

EV +22.49%

优势 +1.18%

Kelly +1.25%

增长率 +0.281%

假设最高赔率为 19.00

博彩公司预测分布

5.09%6.58%6.18%8.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

11.0013.9413.0019.009.09%7.18%7.69%5.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Miami (OH) RedHawks (主队)：93.55%；Bellarmine Knights (客队)：6.45%。对于“Bellarmine Knights (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为15.51。当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为19.00，对应+22.49%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +22.49%E +1.18%K +1.25%G +0.281%	3.3%	2026-11-07 21:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +22.49%E +1.18%K +1.25%G +0.281%	3.3%	2026-11-07 14:10
FanDuel🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.60%E +0.565%K +0.600%G +0.058%	3.9%	2026-11-07 22:00
DraftKings🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -3.64%E -3.53%K -121.35%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +3.15%E +0.197%K +0.210%G +0.007%	3.3%	2026-11-07 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -3.64%E -3.53%K -121.35%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +3.15%E +0.197%K +0.210%G +0.007%	3.3%	2026-11-07 21:45
GTbets🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.95%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	15.85I 6.31%NM 6.05%EV +2.18%E +0.138%K +0.147%G +0.003%	4.3%	2026-11-07 21:59
Paddy Power🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.30%E -0.220%K -0.235%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-07 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.30%E -0.220%K -0.235%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-07 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.30%E -0.220%K -0.235%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-07 21:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.30%E -0.220%K -0.235%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-07 21:54
ATG (SE)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.30%E -0.220%K -0.235%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-07 21:55
betPARX🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.30%E -0.220%K -0.235%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-07 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.30%E -0.220%K -0.235%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-07 21:55
BetRivers🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.15%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.30%E -0.220%K -0.235%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-07 21:55
Unibet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.15%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.30%E -0.220%K -0.235%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-07 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.15%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.30%E -0.220%K -0.235%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-07 21:55
picklebet_au🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.64%E -3.53%K -121.35%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -16.19%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-07 21:45
BetMGM🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.64%E -3.53%K -121.35%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -16.19%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-07 21:59
ReBet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.19%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-07 21:45
1xBet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.19%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-07 21:46
888sport🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.19%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-07 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.19%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-07 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.19%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-07 21:45
Everygame🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.19%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-07 21:48
William Hill🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.19%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-07 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.15%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.19%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-07 10:05
Coral🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.64%E -3.53%K -121.35%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.64%E -1.89%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-07 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.64%E -3.53%K -121.35%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.64%E -1.89%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-07 21:50
SportsBet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.64%E -1.89%K -2.06%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-07 21:45
Neds🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.62%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.08%E -2.64%K -2.91%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-07 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.62%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.08%E -2.64%K -2.91%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-07 21:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.08%E -2.64%K -2.91%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-07 05:10
Betsson🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.08%E -2.64%K -2.91%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-07 21:40
NordicBet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.80%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.08%E -2.64%K -2.91%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-07 21:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68%	30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32%	0.4%	2026-11-07 21:50
Kalshi◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%	1.2%	2026-11-07 21:45
Novig◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16%	14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%	2.2%	2026-11-07 22:00
Polymarket◎	1.03I 97.09%NM 94.36%	17.24I 5.80%NM 5.64%	2.9%	2026-11-07 22:00
ProphetX◎	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%	6.2%	2026-11-07 22:00

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