L’École des cotes

Maryland Terrapins v Illinois Fighting Illini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Maryland Terrapins (Local)

Prévision 10.53%9.49cote équitable
EV +10.60%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.12%
Croissance +0.118%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.17%10.71%10.44%12.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.508.648.5010.5013.33%11.57%11.76%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Illinois Fighting Illini (Visiteur)

Prévision 89.47%1.12cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -3.13%
Kelly -42.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.41%89.29%89.56%90.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.071.061.0895.24%93.77%94.34%92.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +10.60%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.118%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 14:13
BetUS10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +10.60%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.118%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 18:23
GTbets10.40I 9.62%NM 9.25%EV +9.54%E +0.918%K +1.02%G +0.097%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.75%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 18:50
BetOnline.ag10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV +8.28%E +0.805%K +0.892%G +0.074%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 18:49
LowVig.ag10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV +8.28%E +0.805%K +0.892%G +0.074%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 18:49
FanDuel10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +7.44%E +0.729%K +0.808%G +0.060%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 18:09
theScore Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +5.33%E +0.533%K +0.592%G +0.032%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 16:20
PointsBet (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +5.33%E +0.533%K +0.592%G +0.032%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 18:49
Betr (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +0.062%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 03:40
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +0.062%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 16:14
Pinnacle9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -1.41%E -0.151%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -61.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 18:50
Everygame9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -2.57%E -0.278%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:49
BetMGM9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -5.20%E -0.578%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -61.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 16:20
Bovada9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.20%E -0.578%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 18:49
1xBet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.20%E -0.578%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.06%E -5.77%K -121.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:30
Fliff8.85I 11.30%NM 10.61%EV -6.78%E -0.767%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.39%EV -6.06%E -5.77%K -121.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -7.84%E -0.896%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 16:19
Neds8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -7.84%E -0.896%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 16:19
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -10.47%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -61.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 16:25
TAB8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -10.47%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -61.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.47%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 16:19
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.47%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 16:20
SportsBet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -10.47%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.06%E -5.77%K -121.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:09
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:44
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:45
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:44
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:44
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:44
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:44
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:45
Hard Rock Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:44
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -15.74%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 17:09
Marathon Bet7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -17.84%E -2.29%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:49
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -21.00%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 18:55
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -21.00%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 18:54
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -21.00%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 18:44
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -21.00%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.38%E -3.13%K -42.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.00%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -61.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 18:44
PlayUp7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.00%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.27%E -3.99%K -61.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 16:20
Betsson7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -21.00%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 17:09
BoyleSports7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -21.00%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 17:09
NordicBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -21.00%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.16%E -4.87%K -86.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%0.4%2026-03-08 18:45
Polymarket12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-03-08 14:20
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-03-08 18:10
BetOpenly12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-08 18:54
Novig11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%1.1%2026-03-08 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%2.8%2026-03-08 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%2.8%2026-03-08 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%2.8%2026-03-08 18:49