L’École des cotes

Manhattan Jaspers v Iona Gaels

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Manhattan Jaspers (Local)

Prévision 44.29%2.26cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.759%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.08%44.34%44.30%45.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.042.132.122.2249.02%46.98%47.17%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Iona Gaels (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.71%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.26%55.66%55.70%56.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.711.711.7660.98%58.40%58.48%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.69%E -0.759%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 18:05
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 18:09
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 18:09
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 18:55
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 18:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 18:55
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 18:53
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -4.34%E -2.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -8.63%E -5.26%K -13.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 18:05
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 18:54
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 18:04
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 18:04
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 18:09
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 18:39
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 18:39
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 18:34
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 18:34
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 18:34
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.23%E -2.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 18:24
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -5.67%E -2.66%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 18:25
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 18:49
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 18:49
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 18:49
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 18:49
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 18:49
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 18:49
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 18:04
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 18:05
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 18:04
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 18:04
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 18:14
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.17%E -2.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 18:04
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 18:09
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -7.44%E -3.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -5.84%E -3.46%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.89%E -3.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -4.73%E -2.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 18:05
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.89%E -3.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 18:09
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.89%E -3.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.40%E -3.81%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 18:09
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.21%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 18:09
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.21%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 18:39
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.21%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.21%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 18:34
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -9.66%E -4.73%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 18:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-03-01 18:50
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-01 18:09
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-01 18:05
ProphetX2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-03-01 18:50
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-03-01 18:45