L’École des cotes

Liberty Flames v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Liberty Flames (Local)

Prévision 73.86%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -10.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.65%73.87%73.85%74.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.281.281.3180.00%77.91%78.13%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.14%3.83cote équitable
EV -0.683%
Avantage -0.180%
Kelly -0.244%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.20%26.13%26.15%27.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.633.653.8029.41%27.53%27.40%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -3.24%E -2.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -5.65%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 18:30
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.24%E -2.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 15:15
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.24%E -2.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 20:31
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 15:15
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.98%E -3.06%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 17:05
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.683%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 18:04
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.99%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.25%E -0.602%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 17:05
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.25%E -0.602%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 17:05
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 16:45
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:10
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:55
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:55
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:43
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:15
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.72%E -3.66%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 18:15
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.683%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:15
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:15
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:15
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:15
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:15
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:15
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:15
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:15
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:15
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.45%E -4.26%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:15
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.19%E -4.88%K -22.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:15
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.19%E -4.88%K -22.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:30
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.19%E -4.88%K -22.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 20:05
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -6.93%E -5.50%K -26.66%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -2.77%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:50
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.97%EV -6.93%E -5.50%K -26.66%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:15
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.93%E -5.50%K -26.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:15
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.67%E -6.14%K -30.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:15
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.67%E -6.14%K -30.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 20:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.35I 74.07%NM 74.24%3.89I 25.71%NM 25.76%-0.2%2026-02-21 20:55
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-21 19:40
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 75.05%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.95%1.7%2026-02-21 20:44
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-02-21 20:25
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%2.6%2026-02-21 20:55