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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Le Moyne Dolphins v Manhattan Jaspers

开赛时间： 2026-11-14 23:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

39 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Le Moyne Dolphins (主队)

预测 54.87%1.82公平赔率
EV -2.88%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -3.74%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
53.62%54.90%55.12%56.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.721.731.7759.88%58.28%57.80%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Manhattan Jaspers (客队)

预测 45.13%2.22公平赔率
EV -0.716%
优势 -0.325%
Kelly -0.596%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
43.44%45.10%44.88%46.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.102.112.2050.00%47.53%47.39%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Le Moyne Dolphins (主队)：54.87%；Manhattan Jaspers (客队)：45.13%。 对于“Manhattan Jaspers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.22。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.20，期望值为-0.716%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 13:59
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 14:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-14 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.43%E -1.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.87%E -1.82%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-14 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 22:45
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-14 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-14 16:55
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-14 22:54
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-14 15:59
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-14 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.42%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-14 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.78%E -2.26%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-14 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-14 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -8.39%E -4.13%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-14 14:00
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 14:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 14:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 22:15
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.42%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-14 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-14 23:00
picklebet_au🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 22:59
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 22:55
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.27%E -4.30%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.716%E -0.325%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-14 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.82%E -4.65%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.62%E -0.742%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-14 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.82%E -4.65%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.62%E -0.742%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-14 22:45
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.82%E -4.65%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.62%E -0.742%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-14 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.82%E -4.65%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.62%E -0.742%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-14 22:45
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.82%E -4.65%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.62%E -0.742%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-14 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.82%E -4.65%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.62%E -0.742%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-14 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 22:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.23%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.49%E -3.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 23:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-11-14 16:50
BetOpenly◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-11-14 22:45
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-11-14 23:00
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-11-14 22:45
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%3.2%2026-11-14 23:00

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