A Escola das Odds

Kentucky Wildcats v LSU Tigers

Início: 2026-03-11 16:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Previsão 77.02%1.30odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -2.35%
Kelly -11.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.00%77.06%77.21%78.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.241.241.2683.33%80.88%80.65%79.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

LSU Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 22.98%4.35odd justa
EV +1.12%
Vantagem +0.254%
Kelly +0.329%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.70%22.94%22.79%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.084.004.4026.67%24.48%25.00%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.27%E -4.28%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +1.12%E +0.254%K +0.329%G +0.004%4.0%2026-03-11 15:45
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 78.07%EV -5.27%E -4.28%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.93%EV +0.660%E +0.151%K +0.195%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-11 16:15
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -5.27%E -4.28%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV +0.430%E +0.098%K +0.128%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-11 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -5.27%E -4.28%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV +0.430%E +0.098%K +0.128%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-11 16:15
Caesars1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.27%E -4.28%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -0.030%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 16:13
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.58%E -6.31%K -37.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.490%E -0.113%K -0.147%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 16:24
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.18%E -0.274%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 16:25
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.18%E -0.274%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 16:15
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.33%E -0.548%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 16:15
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.48%E -0.828%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 16:25
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.27%E -4.28%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.48%E -0.828%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.48%E -0.828%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 16:15
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.48%E -0.828%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 16:14
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 15:44
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.78%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 16:10
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.78%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 16:25
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.78%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:45
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.45%EV -2.96%E -2.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 16:20
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:55
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:55
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:55
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:55
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:55
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:55
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:55
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:55
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:55
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:55
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 16:15
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 16:20
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 16:10
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 15:40
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 16:15
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -5.27%E -4.28%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -8.99%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 15:25
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.22%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.27%E -4.28%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.22%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 15:55
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.27%E -4.28%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.22%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 15:55
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.37%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 15:45
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.37%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.58%E -6.31%K -37.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.37%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 16:15
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.58%E -6.31%K -37.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.37%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 16:15
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.73%E -2.98%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.82%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 16:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.28I 78.13%NM 78.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.77%-0.1%2026-03-11 16:25
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-11 15:55
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-11 16:25
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-03-11 16:25
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 79.13%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.87%1.1%2026-03-11 16:25