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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Iowa Hawkeyes v Creighton Bluejays

2026-11-15 20:00 UTC — NCAAB

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Iowa Hawkeyes (主队)

预测 61.38%1.63公平赔率
EV -2.41%
优势 -1.52%
Kelly -4.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布
60.36%61.51%61.58%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.461.541.551.5968.49%64.97%64.52%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

Creighton Bluejays (客队)

预测 38.62%2.59公平赔率
EV -1.51%
优势 -0.592%
Kelly -0.974%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.50%38.49%38.42%39.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.442.432.5543.48%41.03%41.15%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Iowa Hawkeyes (主队)：61.38%；Creighton Bluejays (客队)：38.62%。 对于“Creighton Bluejays (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.59。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.55，期望值为-1.51%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.41%E -1.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-14 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.99%E -2.03%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-14 20:35
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.30%E -3.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-14 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.64%E -2.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.30%E -3.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-14 22:20
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.25%E -2.73%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.51%E -0.592%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-15 00:39
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.25%E -2.73%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 18:29
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.25%E -2.73%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 20:40
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.25%E -2.73%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.25%E -2.73%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 20:59
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.25%E -2.73%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-14 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.25%E -2.73%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-15 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 21:50
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.37%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 20:55
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 20:55
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 20:55
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 20:55
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 20:55
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.87%E -3.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -8.85%E -3.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-14 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-14 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-14 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-14 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.14%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-14 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -7.69%E -3.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-14 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.08%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-14 20:34
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.94%E -5.29%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.94%E -5.29%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.94%E -5.29%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.94%E -5.29%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.44%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 20:15
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.94%E -5.29%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.08%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.94%E -5.29%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.17%E -4.85%K -8.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-14 22:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.94%E -5.29%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.17%E -4.85%K -8.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-14 22:20
picklebet_au🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -10.39%E -7.12%K -22.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.30%E -3.04%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 20:04
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-11-14 20:10
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-11-15 00:15
ProphetX◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-11-15 00:00
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%3.9%2026-11-15 00:55

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