L’École des cotes

Idaho Vandals v Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 02:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Idaho Vandals (Local)

Prévision 82.98%1.21cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -11.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.85%82.55%82.96%83.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.151.151.1889.29%86.73%86.96%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.02%5.88cote équitable
EV +0.418%
Avantage +0.071%
Kelly +0.085%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.07%17.45%17.04%21.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.325.335.9022.73%18.79%18.78%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.418%E +0.071%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 13:40
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.94%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +0.418%E +0.071%K +0.085%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 13:45
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.49%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.96%E -0.341%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:35
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.49%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.96%E -0.341%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 13:40
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.49%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.96%E -0.341%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 13:40
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.13%E -0.371%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 13:40
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.13%E -0.371%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.13%E -0.371%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 13:40
Caesars1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.69%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 13:49
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV -5.54%E -0.998%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 01:54
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.39%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 14:20
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.39%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 13:50
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.39%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 13:50
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.39%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 13:40
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.39%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 11:04
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.39%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 10:57
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.39%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 13:40
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.39%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 14:20
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.57%E -3.98%K -30.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.09%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 14:20
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -10.64%E -2.03%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 21:49
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -10.64%E -2.03%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 21:50
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -11.50%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:54
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -11.50%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -11.50%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:54
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -11.50%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:55
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -11.50%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:54
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -11.50%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:54
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -11.50%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:55
TAB1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.90%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.90%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 14:20
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.23%E -5.52%K -47.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.90%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 14:20
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.90%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 13:45
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -16.60%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -16.60%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:54
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -16.60%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:54
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -16.60%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:54
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -3.74%E -3.23%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -17.45%E -3.60%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.91%E -2.49%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -18.30%E -3.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 23:54
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.08%E -1.77%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -25.11%E -5.71%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 01:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.19I 84.03%NM 84.11%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.89%-0.1%2026-02-26 20:34
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15%1.4%2026-02-27 01:50
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-02-26 23:24
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-02-26 23:09
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 83.17%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.83%2.8%2026-02-27 01:14