默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Howard Bison v UMBC Retrievers

开赛时间: 2026-03-17 22:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Howard Bison (主队)

预测 50.61%1.98公平赔率
EV -1.32%
优势 -0.676%
Kelly -1.39%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
48.95%50.78%50.65%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.43%53.48%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

UMBC Retrievers (客队)

预测 49.39%2.02公平赔率
EV -1.21%
优势 -0.606%
Kelly -1.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%49.22%49.35%51.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.861.921.922.0053.76%52.04%52.08%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Howard Bison (主队):50.61%;UMBC Retrievers (客队):49.39%。 对于“UMBC Retrievers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.02。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.00,期望值为-1.21%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.32%E -0.676%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 20:01
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -1.82%E -0.941%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.85%E -2.03%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.16%E -2.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.85%E -2.03%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.16%E -2.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.36%E -2.30%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 20:50
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.36%E -2.30%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.16%E -2.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 22:40
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.36%E -2.30%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.16%E -2.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.86%E -2.59%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.18%E -2.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.86%E -2.59%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.86%E -2.59%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.68%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.68%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.68%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 22:35
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.68%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -8.13%E -4.37%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.87%E -3.16%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.19%E -1.63%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.87%E -3.16%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.19%E -1.63%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.87%E -3.16%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.68%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.16%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.13%E -4.37%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 18:45
Betsson🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.16%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.13%E -4.37%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 18:45
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.38%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.68%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.21%E -0.606%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 22:34
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 22:25
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.39%E -4.04%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 15:44
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.91%E -4.95%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.21%E -0.606%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 22:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.91%E -4.95%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 22:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 49.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.75%-0.5%2026-03-17 22:35
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-03-17 22:39
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-03-17 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-03-17 22:40
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%0.8%2026-03-17 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-17 22:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-03-17 22:40
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%7.8%2026-03-17 22:20