La escuela de los momios

Harvard Crimson v Pennsylvania Quakers

Inicio: 2026-03-14 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Harvard Crimson (Local)

Predicción 60.26%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.573%
Ventaja -0.347%
Kelly -0.881%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.18%60.10%60.15%61.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.591.591.6565.36%63.03%62.89%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pennsylvania Quakers (Visitante)

Predicción 39.74%2.52momio equitativo
EV -0.647%
Ventaja -0.259%
Kelly -0.432%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.88%39.90%39.85%42.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.192.372.382.5045.66%42.26%42.02%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.573%E -0.347%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.61%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 15:55
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.18%E -0.717%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 17:50
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -1.18%E -0.717%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -12.97%E -5.92%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 15:25
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.98%E -1.85%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.62%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 17:00
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.98%E -1.85%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.62%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 15:53
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.83%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 16:00
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 17:00
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 17:00
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 17:00
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 17:00
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 17:00
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.01%E -2.99%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:45
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:00
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:00
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -7.80%E -3.36%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 17:00
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 17:49
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -3.59%E -2.24%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -10.98%E -4.90%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:50
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.19%E -2.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.647%E -0.259%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-14 15:39
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.19%E -2.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.04%E -0.420%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 15:40
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.19%E -2.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.04%E -0.420%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 15:39
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -4.19%E -2.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.24%E -0.909%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 15:40
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.19%E -2.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.63%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 15:45
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.19%E -2.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.43%E -1.41%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 15:38
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.19%E -2.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.62%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 15:45
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.19%E -2.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.62%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 15:40
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.19%E -2.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.62%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 16:14
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.19%E -2.63%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.61%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 15:45
ReBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.79%E -3.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.62%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 17:40
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.79%E -3.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.62%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 15:40
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.79%E -3.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:50
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.39%E -3.44%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.63%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 15:45
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.39%E -3.44%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.63%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 16:05
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.39%E -3.44%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.62%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.39%E -3.44%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.62%E -1.93%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.39%E -3.44%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.80%E -3.36%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:00
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.39%E -3.44%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.80%E -3.36%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:00
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.39%E -3.44%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.60%E -4.26%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:15
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.60%E -4.26%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:15
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.80%E -5.10%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 17:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.80%E -5.10%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 16:14
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.80%E -5.10%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.80%E -5.10%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 15:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84%2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16%-0.0%2026-03-14 17:50
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-14 15:20
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%0.9%2026-03-14 17:55
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-14 17:20
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-03-14 17:40