L’École des cotes

Green Bay Phoenix v Youngstown St Penguins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Green Bay Phoenix (Local)

Prévision 51.70%1.93cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.660%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.63%51.70%52.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.851.851.9156.50%54.15%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Youngstown St Penguins (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.30%2.07cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.33%48.37%48.30%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.941.952.0254.64%51.45%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.26%E -0.660%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.05%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.78%E -0.936%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.22%E -4.33%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:19
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.78%E -0.936%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.22%E -4.33%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:24
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:54
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:04
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:29
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.29%E -3.24%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 18:54
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.29%E -3.24%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 18:54
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.29%E -3.24%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 18:54
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.29%E -3.24%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 18:54
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.29%E -3.24%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.33%E -1.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.22%E -4.33%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 18:30
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.29%E -3.24%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:54
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.36%E -2.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:29
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.32%E -2.72%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:54
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:24
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:24
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:54
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:24
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.77%E -3.51%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:54
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.77%E -3.51%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:54
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.77%E -3.51%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:54
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.88%E -2.65%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.43%E -1.20%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 18:14
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 13:35
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:19
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:41
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 13:05
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.36%E -2.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.26%E -3.78%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 18:54
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.67%E -5.17%K -11.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 18:24
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.60%E -6.34%K -13.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.60%E -6.34%K -13.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 18:19
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 13:41
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 13:35
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 13:35
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.26%E -3.78%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 18:29
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.26%E -3.78%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 18:30
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -8.50%E -4.80%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -4.84%E -2.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-02-28 18:54
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-02-28 18:39
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-02-28 18:34
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%1.8%2026-02-28 18:54
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%2.3%2026-02-28 18:54