La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.83%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.83%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.90%E -2.77%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.83%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.90%E -2.77%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 20:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.83%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.90%E -2.77%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.83%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.05%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.83%E -1.35%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.05%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.76%E -1.81%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.43%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 20:44 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 20:43 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.82%E -2.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.82%E -2.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.82%E -2.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.82%E -2.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.82%E -2.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.82%E -2.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.82%E -2.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.15%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.90%E -2.77%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.61%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 20:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.54%E -3.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.90%E -2.77%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.90%E -2.77%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.05%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.05%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 20:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.05%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.78%E -5.01%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.05%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.78%E -5.01%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.05%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| ProphetX | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| Novig | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |