La escuela de los momios

George Mason Patriots v St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Inicio: 2026-03-12 18:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

George Mason Patriots (Local)

Predicción 57.74%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -3.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.82%57.86%57.59%59.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.641.651.6963.69%60.90%60.61%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visitante)

Predicción 42.26%2.37momio equitativo
EV +1.42%
Ventaja +0.590%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%42.14%42.41%44.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.112.252.242.4047.39%44.38%44.64%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.42%E +0.590%K +1.01%G +0.014%3.8%2026-03-12 17:14
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +0.570%E +0.239%K +0.413%G +0.002%3.4%2026-03-12 18:05
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +0.570%E +0.239%K +0.413%G +0.002%3.4%2026-03-12 18:10
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.698%E -0.297%K -0.517%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -0.698%E -0.297%K -0.517%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 17:59
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.46%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.698%E -0.297%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 17:39
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.12%E -0.479%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 17:35
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.46%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.12%E -0.479%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:30
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 17:15
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 17:45
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.46%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:30
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.46%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:15
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 18:10
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -8.76%E -5.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -3.23%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:30
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 16:24
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 16:30
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 16:35
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 16:35
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 16:35
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.41%E -1.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.35%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 17:45
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.35%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 17:30
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -8.19%E -5.15%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -5.35%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 16:25
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 16:25
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 16:25
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 16:25
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 16:25
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 16:25
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 16:25
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 16:25
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 16:25
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:00
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 16:25
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 16:25
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.46%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 16:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.46%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 17:30
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.88%E -3.62%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 17:30
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.88%E -3.62%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.61%E -4.76%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 16:35
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.61%E -4.76%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 16:35
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -10.84%E -5.14%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 17:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-12 17:59
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-12 18:05
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-12 18:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%2.1%2026-03-12 18:10
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%4.7%2026-03-12 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21%8.3%2026-03-12 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21%8.3%2026-03-12 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-12 18:05