默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Elon Phoenix v Chattanooga Mocs

2026-11-14 00:00 UTC — NCAAB

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

60%

40%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Elon Phoenix (主队)

预测 60.45%1.65公平赔率

EV +0.350%

优势 +0.211%

Kelly +0.530%

增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布

57.59%60.11%60.52%60.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.511.581.571.6666.23%63.40%63.69%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chattanooga Mocs (客队)

预测 39.55%2.53公平赔率

EV -3.11%

优势 -1.27%

Kelly -2.14%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布

39.05%39.89%39.48%42.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.202.332.342.4545.45%42.91%42.74%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Elon Phoenix (主队)：60.45%；Chattanooga Mocs (客队)：39.55%。对于“Elon Phoenix (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.65。有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为1.66，由此产生+0.350%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
FanDuel🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV +0.350%E +0.211%K +0.530%G +0.002%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -10.62%E -4.70%K -8.43%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-13 00:55
BetMGM🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-13 00:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-13 00:55
Neds🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-13 00:55
SportsBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.99%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-13 00:54
Paddy Power🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.99%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-13 00:55
Caesars🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-13 00:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-13 00:15
Fanatics🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-13 00:20
DraftKings🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-13 00:15
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.02%E -4.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-13 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.93%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.02%E -4.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-13 00:55
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.17%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-13 01:15
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.17%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-13 01:15
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.17%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-13 01:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.17%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-13 01:15
Betsson🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.11%E -5.34%K -15.60%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV -7.85%E -3.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-11-13 01:15
picklebet_au🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 60.26%EV -8.72%E -5.77%K -17.09%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 39.74%EV -9.43%E -4.12%K -7.31%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-11-13 01:15

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-11-13 01:55
Novig◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%	1.9%	2026-11-13 01:50
Polymarket◎	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%	3.0%	2026-11-13 01:55
ProphetX◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%	3.3%	2026-11-13 01:20

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