默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

East Carolina Pirates v Delaware St Hornets

开赛时间： 2026-11-14 21:02 UTC

最终结果： East Carolina Pirates 72–48 Delaware St Hornets

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

89%

11%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

East Carolina Pirates (主队)

预测 89.05%1.12公平赔率

EV -2.93%

优势 -2.69%

Kelly -32.57%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.09

博彩公司预测分布

86.93%89.08%89.37%90.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.54%93.46%91.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Delaware St Hornets (客队)

预测 10.95%9.14公平赔率

EV +9.46%

优势 +0.946%

Kelly +1.05%

增长率 +0.099%

假设最高赔率为 10.00

博彩公司预测分布

9.58%10.92%10.63%13.07%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

7.258.328.0010.0013.79%12.02%12.50%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：East Carolina Pirates (主队)：89.05%；Delaware St Hornets (客队)：10.95%。对于“Delaware St Hornets (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.14。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为10.00，对应+9.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +9.46%E +0.946%K +1.05%G +0.099%	3.5%	2026-11-14 20:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.60%E -5.29%K -93.37%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +9.46%E +0.946%K +1.05%G +0.099%	4.3%	2026-11-14 20:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 89.50%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.77%G +0.000%	9.21I 10.86%NM 10.50%EV +0.810%E +0.088%K +0.099%G +0.001%	3.5%	2026-11-14 20:55
GTbets🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 89.44%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.77%G +0.000%	9.15I 10.93%NM 10.56%EV +0.154%E +0.017%K +0.019%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-14 20:55
DraftKings🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.49%E -0.165%K -0.186%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-14 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.49%E -0.165%K -0.186%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-14 20:55
FanDuel🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.49%E -0.165%K -0.186%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-14 20:59
1xBet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.49%E -6.18%K -129.86%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.49%E -0.165%K -0.186%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-14 19:00
888sport🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.49%E -6.18%K -129.86%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.49%E -0.165%K -0.186%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-14 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.49%E -6.18%K -129.86%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.49%E -0.165%K -0.186%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-14 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.49%E -6.18%K -129.86%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.49%E -0.165%K -0.186%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-14 20:50
William Hill🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.49%E -6.18%K -129.86%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.49%E -0.165%K -0.186%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-14 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.22%E -0.483%K -0.545%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-14 20:55
picklebet_au🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.22%E -0.483%K -0.545%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-14 21:00
ReBet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.22%E -0.483%K -0.545%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-14 20:59
Bet Right🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.96%E -0.819%K -0.928%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-14 20:54
Bovada🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.96%E -0.819%K -0.928%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-14 20:56
Everygame🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.96%E -0.819%K -0.928%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-14 20:50
Caesars🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.93%E -2.69%K -32.57%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 21:00
BetRivers🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.77%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.77%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.77%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 20:50
Unibet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.77%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.77%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 20:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.77%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 20:50
betPARX🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.77%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.77%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.77%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-14 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-14 20:55
TABtouch🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-14 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-14 20:50
BetMGM🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-14 21:00
BoyleSports🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.60%E -5.29%K -93.37%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-14 21:00
Casumo🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.49%E -6.18%K -129.86%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-14 21:00
Betsson🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.49%E -6.18%K -129.86%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-14 20:50
NordicBet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.49%E -6.18%K -129.86%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-14 20:50
TAB🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.93%E -2.69%K -32.57%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -17.91%E -2.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 20:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.31%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.91%E -2.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-14 21:00
Coral🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.60%E -5.29%K -93.37%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.91%E -2.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-14 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.60%E -5.29%K -93.37%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.91%E -2.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-14 20:55
SportsBet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -7.38%E -7.10%K -184.59%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -17.91%E -2.39%K -2.75%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-11-14 21:00
Neds🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -2.93%E -2.69%K -32.57%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -20.64%E -2.85%K -3.30%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-14 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -2.93%E -2.69%K -32.57%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -20.64%E -2.85%K -3.30%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-14 20:59

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Novig◎	1.09I 91.74%NM 91.52%	11.76I 8.50%NM 8.48%	0.2%	2026-11-14 20:50
Kalshi◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%	0.6%	2026-11-14 14:25
Polymarket◎	1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%	11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%	0.7%	2026-11-14 20:50
ProphetX◎	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%	9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%	5.0%	2026-11-14 21:00

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