默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Duquesne Dukes v Binghamton Bearcats

开赛时间： 2026-11-15 00:32 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

42 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

93%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Duquesne Dukes (主队)

预测 92.79%1.08公平赔率

EV -2.57%

优势 -2.45%

Kelly -51.49%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.05

博彩公司预测分布

90.50%92.70%93.09%94.01%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.43%97.09%95.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Binghamton Bearcats (客队)

预测 7.21%13.86公平赔率

EV +15.42%

优势 +0.964%

Kelly +1.03%

增长率 +0.159%

假设最高赔率为 16.00

博彩公司预测分布

5.99%7.30%6.91%9.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

10.0012.5012.5016.0010.00%8.00%8.00%6.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Duquesne Dukes (主队)：92.79%；Binghamton Bearcats (客队)：7.21%。对于“Binghamton Bearcats (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为13.86。当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为16.00，对应+15.42%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +15.42%E +0.964%K +1.03%G +0.159%	3.3%	2026-11-15 00:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.36%E -5.25%K -267.90%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +15.42%E +0.964%K +1.03%G +0.159%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:10
FanDuel🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.36%E -5.25%K -267.90%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +8.21%E +0.547%K +0.586%G +0.048%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:25
Caesars🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +4.60%E +0.317%K +0.341%G +0.016%	4.0%	2026-11-15 00:30
GTbets🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.24%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	14.20I 7.04%NM 6.76%EV +2.44%E +0.171%K +0.184%G +0.004%	4.1%	2026-11-15 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.50%E -3.37%K -87.56%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +0.992%E +0.071%K +0.076%G +0.001%	3.3%	2026-11-15 00:15
DraftKings🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.50%E -3.37%K -87.56%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +0.992%E +0.071%K +0.076%G +0.001%	3.3%	2026-11-15 00:15
picklebet_au🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.22%E -0.479%K -0.518%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-15 00:30
Bet Right🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.22%E -0.479%K -0.518%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-15 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.22%E -0.479%K -0.518%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-15 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.25%K -267.90%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.22%E -0.479%K -0.518%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-15 00:25
1xBet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.25%K -267.90%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.22%E -0.479%K -0.518%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-15 00:29
Paddy Power🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.25%K -267.90%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.22%E -0.479%K -0.518%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-15 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.53%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	12.75I 7.84%NM 7.47%EV -8.02%E -0.629%K -0.683%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-15 00:15
Unibet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -9.83%E -0.786%K -0.855%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:19
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -9.83%E -0.786%K -0.855%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -9.83%E -0.786%K -0.855%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:20
BetRivers🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -9.83%E -0.786%K -0.855%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -9.83%E -0.786%K -0.855%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -9.83%E -0.786%K -0.855%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -9.83%E -0.786%K -0.855%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:18
betPARX🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -9.83%E -0.786%K -0.855%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.29%E -6.22%K -628.59%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -9.83%E -0.786%K -0.855%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-15 00:20
TABtouch🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.29%E -6.22%K -628.59%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -9.83%E -0.786%K -0.855%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-15 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.29%E -6.22%K -628.59%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -9.83%E -0.786%K -0.855%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-15 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.29%E -6.22%K -628.59%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -9.83%E -0.786%K -0.855%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-15 00:20
Everygame🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.44%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-14 15:29
Coral🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.44%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-15 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.44%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-15 00:25
888sport🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.25%K -267.90%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.44%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-15 00:29
888sport (SE)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.25%K -267.90%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.44%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-15 00:29
SportsBet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.25%K -267.90%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.44%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-15 00:25
William Hill🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.25%K -267.90%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.44%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-15 00:30
BetMGM🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.43%E -4.30%K -147.67%G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.04%E -1.48%K -1.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-15 00:30
TAB🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.50%E -3.37%K -87.56%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -20.65%E -1.88%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-15 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.50%E -3.37%K -87.56%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -20.65%E -1.88%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-15 00:25
Neds🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.50%E -3.37%K -87.56%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -20.65%E -1.88%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-15 00:25
BoyleSports🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.36%E -5.25%K -267.90%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -20.65%E -1.88%K -2.06%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-15 00:30
Casumo🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.29%E -6.22%K -628.59%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -20.65%E -1.88%K -2.06%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-15 00:30
Bovada🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.57%E -2.45%K -51.49%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -27.86%E -2.79%K -3.10%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-14 14:39
Betsson🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.36%E -5.25%K -267.90%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -27.86%E -2.79%K -3.10%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-15 00:25
NordicBet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.36%E -5.25%K -267.90%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -27.86%E -2.79%K -3.10%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-15 00:25

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 95.44%	22.00I 4.55%NM 4.56%	-0.2%	2026-11-15 00:29
Novig◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 94.54%	18.18I 5.50%NM 5.46%	0.7%	2026-11-15 00:30
ProphetX◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 94.54%	18.00I 5.56%NM 5.46%	1.7%	2026-11-15 00:30
Kalshi◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 94.13%	16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%	2.2%	2026-11-15 00:25
Polymarket◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 94.13%	16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%	2.2%	2026-11-15 00:30

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