A Escola das Odds

Duke Blue Devils v North Carolina Tar Heels

Início: 2026-03-07 23:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Previsão 93.03%1.07odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -2.20%
Kelly -46.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.50%92.80%93.00%93.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.021.031.031.0598.04%97.36%97.09%95.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visitante)

Previsão 6.97%14.36odd justa
EV +11.44%
Vantagem +0.715%
Kelly +0.763%
Crescimento +0.087%

pressupondo odds máximas de 16.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.05%7.20%7.00%9.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.0012.8112.5016.0010.00%7.81%8.00%6.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +11.44%E +0.715%K +0.763%G +0.087%3.3%2026-03-07 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +11.44%E +0.715%K +0.763%G +0.087%3.3%2026-03-07 23:29
Caesars1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +7.96%E +0.514%K +0.549%G +0.044%4.5%2026-03-07 23:27
LowVig.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +7.96%E +0.514%K +0.549%G +0.044%4.5%2026-03-07 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +7.96%E +0.514%K +0.549%G +0.044%4.5%2026-03-07 23:29
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +4.48%E +0.299%K +0.320%G +0.014%4.7%2026-03-07 23:30
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -0.746%E -0.052%K -0.056%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:29
Fanatics1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.24%E -3.12%K -81.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV -2.49%E -0.178%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 23:30
Bet Right1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.49%E -0.178%K -0.191%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:29
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV -5.97%E -0.442%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 23:30
theScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -9.45%E -0.727%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 23:30
Hard Rock Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -9.45%E -0.727%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 23:29
Neds1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.45%E -0.727%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.45%E -0.727%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 23:29
Coral1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.45%E -0.727%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.45%E -0.727%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 23:30
Everygame1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.45%E -0.727%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 23:29
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -12.93%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:29
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -12.93%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:29
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -12.93%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:29
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -12.93%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:29
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -12.93%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:29
Bally Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -12.93%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:29
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -12.93%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:29
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.42%E -1.37%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:29
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.42%E -1.37%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:29
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.42%E -1.37%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:29
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.42%E -1.37%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:29
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.42%E -1.37%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:29
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -16.42%E -1.37%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -16.42%E -1.37%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:30
Bovada1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.31%E -2.20%K -46.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -23.38%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 23:28
William Hill1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -23.38%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:16
Betsson1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.38%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:29
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.38%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:29
BoyleSports1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.10%E -5.00%K -255.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.38%E -2.13%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:29
PlayUp1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.31%E -2.20%K -46.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -30.35%E -3.03%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:29
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.17%E -4.05%K -139.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -30.35%E -3.03%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.04I 96.15%NM 96.42%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.58%-0.3%2026-03-07 23:29
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-03-07 23:30
Polymarket1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-03-07 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-03-07 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-03-07 23:29
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 94.31%17.24I 5.80%NM 5.69%2.0%2026-03-07 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.24%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.76%2.0%2026-03-07 23:29