默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Drake Bulldogs v Southern Jaguars

开赛时间： 2026-11-08 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

88%

12%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Drake Bulldogs (主队)

预测 88.04%1.14公平赔率

EV -3.15%

优势 -2.87%

Kelly -31.53%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.10

博彩公司预测分布

86.42%88.05%88.01%89.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.82%92.59%90.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

Southern Jaguars (客队)

预测 11.96%8.36公平赔率

EV +8.81%

优势 +0.968%

Kelly +1.09%

增长率 +0.096%

假设最高赔率为 9.10

博彩公司预测分布

10.52%11.95%11.99%13.58%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

7.007.697.509.1014.29%13.00%13.33%10.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Drake Bulldogs (主队)：88.04%；Southern Jaguars (客队)：11.96%。对于“Southern Jaguars (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.36。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.10，对应+8.81%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
FanDuel🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.79%E -5.42%K -82.78%G +0.000%	9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +8.81%E +0.968%K +1.09%G +0.096%	4.4%	2026-11-08 17:44
Fanatics🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.64%E +0.193%K +0.218%G +0.004%	4.4%	2026-11-08 17:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.79%E -5.42%K -82.78%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +1.64%E +0.193%K +0.218%G +0.004%	5.2%	2026-11-08 19:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.54%EV -4.03%E -3.70%K -44.82%G +0.000%	8.42I 11.88%NM 11.46%EV +0.681%E +0.081%K +0.092%G +0.001%	3.6%	2026-11-08 19:45
BetMGM🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -1.35%E -0.164%K -0.186%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 19:55
ReBet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.15%E -0.388%K -0.443%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-08 19:52
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.03%E -3.70%K -44.82%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.34%E -0.543%K -0.620%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.34%E -0.543%K -0.620%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 16:35
Bet Right🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.34%E -0.543%K -0.620%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 16:35
Bovada🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.34%E -0.543%K -0.620%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 18:25
1xBet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.67%E -6.30%K -111.25%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.34%E -0.543%K -0.620%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-08 17:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.67%E -6.30%K -111.25%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.34%E -0.543%K -0.620%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-08 17:44
GTbets🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.85%EV -3.15%E -2.87%K -31.53%G +0.000%	7.95I 12.58%NM 12.15%EV -4.94%E -0.621%K -0.711%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-08 19:55
DraftKings🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -3.15%E -2.87%K -31.53%G +0.000%	7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -7.33%E -0.946%K -1.09%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-08 19:55
SportsBet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.67%E -6.30%K -111.25%G +0.000%	7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -7.33%E -0.946%K -1.09%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-08 17:44
Caesars🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.15%E -2.87%K -31.53%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 19:55
picklebet_au🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.03%E -3.70%K -44.82%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 19:55
Everygame🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 16:35
BetRivers🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 16:35
Unibet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 16:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 16:35
betPARX🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.91%E -4.55%K -61.42%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 16:34
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.79%E -5.42%K -82.78%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-08 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.79%E -5.42%K -82.78%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-08 16:35
TABtouch🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.79%E -5.42%K -82.78%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-08 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.79%E -5.42%K -82.78%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-08 16:35
888sport🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.67%E -6.30%K -111.25%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-08 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.67%E -6.30%K -111.25%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-08 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.67%E -6.30%K -111.25%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-08 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.67%E -6.30%K -111.25%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-08 17:44
Coral🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.67%E -6.30%K -111.25%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.32%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-08 17:44
Neds🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.03%E -3.70%K -44.82%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -13.31%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.03%E -3.70%K -44.82%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -13.31%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 19:55
TAB🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.15%E -2.87%K -31.53%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.30%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-08 15:05
NordicBet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.79%E -5.42%K -82.78%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.30%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-08 15:05
Betsson🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.79%E -5.42%K -82.78%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.30%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-08 15:05

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.09I 91.74%NM 91.74%	12.10I 8.26%NM 8.26%	0.0%	2026-11-08 19:55
ProphetX◎	1.11I 90.09%NM 89.54%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.46%	0.6%	2026-11-08 19:55
Kalshi◎	1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%	0.9%	2026-11-08 19:40
Polymarket◎	1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%	0.9%	2026-11-08 19:30
Novig◎	1.10I 90.91%NM 89.64%	9.52I 10.50%NM 10.36%	1.4%	2026-11-08 18:00

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