La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +9.30%E +2.27%K +3.00%G +0.279% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -8.32%E -6.66%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 21:23 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +9.30%E +2.27%K +3.00%G +0.279% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -8.32%E -6.66%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +3.97%E +1.02%K +1.37%G +0.054% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -8.32%E -6.66%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |
| LeoVegas | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.63%E +0.684%K +0.925%G +0.024% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.63%E +0.684%K +0.925%G +0.024% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.63%E +0.684%K +0.925%G +0.024% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Bally Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.63%E +0.684%K +0.925%G +0.024% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.63%E +0.684%K +0.925%G +0.024% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.63%E +0.684%K +0.925%G +0.024% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +2.63%E +0.684%K +0.925%G +0.024% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Bet Right | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.63%E +0.684%K +0.925%G +0.024% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.59%E -6.02%K -29.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.031%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.031%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.031%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| BetRivers | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.031%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.031%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -0.298%E -0.080%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.12%E -4.78%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 21:14 |
| 1xBet | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -0.831%E -0.223%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.59%E -6.02%K -29.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| TABtouch | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.36%E -0.369%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.36%E -0.369%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.59%E -6.02%K -29.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.23%E -0.890%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.92%E -2.99%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.23%E -0.890%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.92%E -2.99%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 21:25 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.92%E -2.99%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| 888sport | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:25 |
| Fliff | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -2.46%E -1.85%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 21:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Betsson | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.12%E -4.78%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| NordicBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.12%E -4.78%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -10.43%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| TAB | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -12.03%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -1.72%E -1.29%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -14.69%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -0.255%E -0.188%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.03%E -5.09%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.255%E -0.188%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -17.36%E -5.60%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -20.02%E -6.67%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -2.46%E -1.85%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Neds | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -21.36%E -7.24%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +2.68%E +1.91%K +6.70%G +0.179% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 21:25 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.96% | -0.3% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| BetOpenly | 4.15I 24.10%NM 24.13% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.87% | -0.1% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Polymarket | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| ProphetX | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Novig | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |