La escuela de los momios

Central Arkansas Bears v Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Inicio: 2026-03-07 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Central Arkansas Bears (Local)

Predicción 64.02%1.56momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -3.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.87%64.04%63.86%65.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.481.5371.43%67.38%67.34%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (Visitante)

Predicción 35.98%2.78momio equitativo
EV +0.748%
Ventaja +0.267%
Kelly +0.415%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.12%35.96%36.14%38.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.602.592.8040.82%38.43%38.61%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +0.748%E +0.267%K +0.415%G +0.003%3.3%2026-03-07 21:44
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +0.748%E +0.267%K +0.415%G +0.003%3.3%2026-03-07 21:44
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.748%E +0.267%K +0.415%G +0.003%4.7%2026-03-07 21:44
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.748%E +0.267%K +0.415%G +0.003%4.7%2026-03-07 17:54
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.05%E -0.382%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 18:04
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.05%E -0.382%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:00
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.05%E -0.382%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.05%E -0.382%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:44
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.05%E -0.382%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:44
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 21:09
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.61%E -3.10%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 18:05
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:44
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:44
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.65%E -1.75%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 20:24
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.65%E -1.75%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:44
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -5.73%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 21:45
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -5.73%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 21:45
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.05%E -1.34%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.45%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 21:59
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.69%E -1.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.45%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:39
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.45%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 21:44
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -6.53%E -4.47%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.17%E -2.78%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 17:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.25%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 22:00
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.25%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 20:25
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.25%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 21:54
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.25%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 21:54
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.25%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 21:54
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -8.97%E -3.54%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:39
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.05%E -1.34%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:24
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 21:54
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -2.69%E -1.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -10.77%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:24
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -2.69%E -1.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -10.77%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -2.69%E -1.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -10.77%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:20
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -10.77%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -10.77%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -10.77%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:20
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -10.77%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -10.77%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:25
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -10.77%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:20
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -10.77%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:24
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -11.85%E -4.83%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -11.85%E -4.83%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.29%2.97I 33.67%NM 33.71%-0.1%2026-03-07 21:59
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-07 21:29
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-03-07 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.8%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.8%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%2.8%2026-03-07 21:49
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%3.0%2026-03-07 21:39