La escuela de los momios

Butler Bulldogs v Creighton Bluejays

Inicio: 2026-03-04 23:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Butler Bulldogs (Local)

Predicción 57.77%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -3.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.00%57.78%57.76%59.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.641.631.6962.89%61.03%61.35%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Creighton Bluejays (Visitante)

Predicción 42.23%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.753%
Ventaja -0.321%
Kelly -0.558%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.81%42.22%42.24%43.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.24%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.37%E -1.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 06:00
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.37%E -1.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 13:25
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.37%E -1.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.40%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 22:45
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.53%E -2.11%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 22:55
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.53%E -2.11%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 22:44
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.53%E -2.11%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 22:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.53%E -2.11%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 22:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.53%E -2.11%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 08:29
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.68%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.753%E -0.321%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 22:45
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.68%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.753%E -0.321%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 22:44
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.68%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.18%E -0.502%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 22:44
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 22:54
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 22:55
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:45
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.68%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.40%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:55
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.26%E -3.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 22:50
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.26%E -3.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:45
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -5.26%E -3.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -7.51%E -3.43%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 08:29
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:55
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:55
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:55
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:55
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:55
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:55
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.71%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.71%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:55
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.71%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:55
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 22:45
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.93%E -3.64%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 08:30
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.93%E -3.64%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 08:30
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.753%E -0.321%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 22:55
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 22:55
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 22:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 08:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 03:15
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 07:20
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.99%E -4.34%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.24%E -2.81%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 07:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 07:15
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.15%E -5.13%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 22:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-03-04 22:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-04 22:55
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-03-04 22:50
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-03-04 22:55
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-03-04 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%4.5%2026-03-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%4.5%2026-03-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%4.8%2026-03-04 22:55