默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bowling Green Falcons v Cleveland St Vikings

开赛时间： 2026-11-10 00:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

87%

13%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bowling Green Falcons (主队)

预测 87.48%1.14公平赔率

EV -2.90%

优势 -2.61%

Kelly -26.34%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.11

博彩公司预测分布

85.41%87.50%87.49%88.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.061.091.091.1194.34%91.92%91.74%90.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cleveland St Vikings (客队)

预测 12.52%7.99公平赔率

EV +5.17%

优势 +0.615%

Kelly +0.698%

增长率 +0.036%

假设最高赔率为 8.40

博彩公司预测分布

11.39%12.50%12.51%14.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

6.507.307.008.4015.38%13.70%14.29%11.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bowling Green Falcons (主队)：87.48%；Cleveland St Vikings (客队)：12.52%。对于“Cleveland St Vikings (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.99。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.40，对应+5.17%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
FanDuel🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -5.52%E -5.11%K -69.02%G +0.000%	8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +5.17%E +0.615%K +0.698%G +0.036%	4.5%	2026-11-09 20:20
Fanatics🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.65%E -4.26%K -51.63%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +0.159%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 20:25
theScore Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.52%E -5.11%K -69.02%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.159%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-09 14:05
Pinnacle🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.80%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.92I 12.63%NM 12.20%EV -0.843%E -0.106%K -0.122%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-09 23:55
BetMGM🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.65%E -4.26%K -51.63%G +0.000%	7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -2.97%E -0.383%K -0.440%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-09 20:20
Everygame🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.65%E -4.26%K -51.63%G +0.000%	7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -2.97%E -0.383%K -0.440%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-09 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -4.72%E -0.621%K -0.715%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-09 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -4.72%E -0.621%K -0.715%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-09 20:15
GTbets🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 87.26%EV -2.90%E -2.61%K -26.34%G +0.000%	7.60I 13.16%NM 12.74%EV -4.85%E -0.638%K -0.735%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-09 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.10%E -0.813%K -0.939%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 20:14
DraftKings🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.10%E -0.813%K -0.939%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 20:15
Caesars🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.10%E -0.813%K -0.939%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 20:19
picklebet_au🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.65%E -4.26%K -51.63%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.10%E -0.813%K -0.939%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-09 23:05
Bovada🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.65%E -4.26%K -51.63%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.10%E -0.813%K -0.939%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-09 20:18
William Hill🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.38%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.10%E -0.813%K -0.939%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-09 20:25
1xBet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.38%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.10%E -0.813%K -0.939%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-09 20:20
Paddy Power🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.38%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.10%E -0.813%K -0.939%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-09 20:19
888sport🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.27%E -6.86%K -121.18%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.10%E -0.813%K -0.939%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-09 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.27%E -6.86%K -121.18%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.10%E -0.813%K -0.939%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-09 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.27%E -6.86%K -121.18%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.10%E -0.813%K -0.939%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-09 20:20
BetUS🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -2.90%E -2.61%K -26.34%G +0.000%	7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -8.61%E -1.18%K -1.37%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-09 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 20:20
Neds🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 20:19
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 23:45
BetRivers🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 23:45
Unibet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 23:45
betPARX🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 23:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.72%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.52%E -5.11%K -69.02%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-09 23:45
TABtouch🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.52%E -5.11%K -69.02%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-09 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.52%E -5.11%K -69.02%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-09 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.52%E -5.11%K -69.02%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-09 23:45
Betr (AU)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.52%E -5.11%K -69.02%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-09 20:20
NordicBet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.38%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-09 20:20
Betsson🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.38%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-09 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.38%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-09 20:20
Coral🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.38%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-09 20:20
SportsBet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.40%E -5.98%K -91.38%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.36%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-09 20:20
TAB🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.90%E -2.61%K -26.34%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -18.62%E -2.86%K -3.39%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-09 20:20

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.12I 89.29%NM 89.61%	9.66I 10.35%NM 10.39%	-0.4%	2026-11-09 23:55
Novig◎	1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03%	9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97%	0.3%	2026-11-09 22:50
ProphetX◎	1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%	9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%	1.0%	2026-11-09 22:55
Kalshi◎	1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%	9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%	1.1%	2026-11-09 21:30
Polymarket◎	1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%	9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%	1.1%	2026-11-09 21:00

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