L’École des cotes

Bellarmine Knights v Jacksonville Dolphins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bellarmine Knights (Local)

Prévision 54.45%1.84cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -4.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.81%54.64%54.29%55.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.741.751.7759.52%57.48%57.14%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jacksonville Dolphins (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.55%2.20cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.749%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.19%45.36%45.71%46.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.92%47.62%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 16:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 15:54
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 16:55
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 16:40
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 16:00
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.62%E -2.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 16:54
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.16%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 16:40
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.16%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.16%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 16:45
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.16%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 16:45
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.16%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 16:40
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.16%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 16:45
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.16%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 16:45
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.16%E -2.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.63%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:55
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 16:55
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 16:45
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.26%E -2.53%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.63%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 16:45
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.71%E -2.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.63%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 16:45
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.25%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.07%E -0.965%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.25%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.07%E -0.965%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 16:55
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.25%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.07%E -0.965%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 16:55
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.25%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.07%E -0.965%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 16:28
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.25%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 16:00
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.25%E -3.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.72%E -2.76%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.17%E -3.00%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 16:45
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.80%E -3.35%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.63%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 16:10
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 16:55
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.34%E -3.69%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.63%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 16:55
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.62%E -0.749%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 16:50
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.43%E -4.37%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.72%E -2.76%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 16:49
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.43%E -4.37%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.63%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.43%E -4.37%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.63%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:10
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.43%E -4.37%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.63%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.43%E -4.37%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.91%E -4.45%K -8.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 16:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.43%E -4.37%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.91%E -4.45%K -8.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 16:00
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.97%E -4.72%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.63%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 16:49
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.52%E -5.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.35%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-03-04 16:50
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-03-04 16:55
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-04 16:55
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-04 16:55
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.7%2026-03-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.7%2026-03-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.7%2026-03-04 16:55