La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.08%E -5.24%K -37.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +2.78%E +0.514%K +0.631%G +0.018% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.46%E -3.78%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -0.079%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 02:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.27%E -4.50%K -30.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.079%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 02:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.89%E -5.99%K -45.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.079%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.70%E -6.75%K -54.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -1.03%E -0.198%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.65%E -3.07%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.84%E -0.967%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 02:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.46%E -3.78%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.84%E -0.967%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.46%E -3.78%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.84%E -0.967%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 02:40 |
| GTbets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.46%E -3.78%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.84%E -0.967%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 02:50 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.46%E -3.78%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.84%E -0.967%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.27%E -4.50%K -30.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.84%E -0.967%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 02:40 |
| Neds | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.27%E -4.50%K -30.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.84%E -0.967%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.27%E -4.50%K -30.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.84%E -0.967%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.27%E -4.50%K -30.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.84%E -0.967%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Bovada | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.27%E -4.50%K -30.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.84%E -0.967%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 02:48 |
| 1xBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.70%E -6.75%K -54.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.84%E -0.967%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 02:00 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.74%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.46%E -3.78%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.74%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.46%E -3.78%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.74%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.46%E -3.78%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.74%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 02:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -8.07%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -8.07%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.46%E -3.78%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 02:55 |
| William Hill | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.89%E -5.99%K -45.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.60%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 02:45 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -10.55%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| Betsson | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.08%E -5.24%K -37.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.55%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 02:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.08%E -5.24%K -37.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.55%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 02:40 |
| Fliff | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.08%E -5.24%K -37.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.55%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 02:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 02:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 02:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 02:00 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| betPARX | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.89%E -5.99%K -45.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.89%E -5.99%K -45.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.45%E -2.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.35%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.84%E -2.37%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.35%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.65%E -3.07%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.35%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.65%E -3.07%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -14.35%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.46%E -3.78%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.35%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 02:50 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.22% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.78% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 02:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 02:45 |
| BetOpenly | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.10% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.90% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 02:50 |
| Polymarket | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 02:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58% | 2.3% | 2026-03-04 02:35 |