Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Wildcats v UCF Knights

Início: 2026-03-12 19:14 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Previsão 90.53%1.10odd justa
EV -3.13%
Vantagem -2.93%
Kelly -44.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
88.30%90.40%90.74%92.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.041.051.061.0796.15%94.84%94.34%93.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

UCF Knights (Visitante)

Previsão 9.47%10.56odd justa
EV +13.61%
Vantagem +1.13%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescimento +0.168%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.98%9.60%9.26%11.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.009.549.5012.0012.50%10.48%10.53%8.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 90.53%; UCF Knights (Visitante): 9.47%. Para UCF Knights (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 10.56. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 12.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +13.61%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.85%E -5.62%K -146.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +13.61%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.168%4.5%2026-03-12 19:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.14%E +0.376%K +0.414%G +0.017%3.4%2026-03-12 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.14%E +0.376%K +0.414%G +0.017%3.4%2026-03-12 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.94%E -4.71%K -98.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.14%E +0.376%K +0.414%G +0.017%4.3%2026-03-12 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.85%E -5.62%K -146.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.14%E +0.376%K +0.414%G +0.017%5.2%2026-03-12 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.00%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%10.72I 9.33%NM 9.00%EV +1.49%E +0.139%K +0.153%G +0.002%3.7%2026-03-12 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -0.594%E -0.057%K -0.063%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 19:10
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -0.594%E -0.057%K -0.063%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 19:08
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -0.594%E -0.057%K -0.063%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV -2.68%E -0.260%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV -2.68%E -0.260%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.94%E -4.71%K -98.81%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -2.96%E -0.289%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:59
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.58%EV -4.94%E -4.71%K -98.81%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.42%EV -4.38%E -0.434%K -0.481%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 18:59
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.33%E -0.533%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 19:09
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.94%E -4.71%K -98.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.33%E -0.533%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 18:59
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.94%E -4.71%K -98.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.33%E -0.533%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 19:06
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.85%E -5.62%K -146.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.33%E -0.533%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 19:10
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.06%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.06%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.06%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:10
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.06%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:10
betPARX🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.06%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.06%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.06%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:10
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.85%E -5.62%K -146.15%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -10.06%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 19:10
Betway🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.85%E -5.62%K -146.15%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -10.06%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 19:10
Everygame🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -12.43%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.94%E -4.71%K -98.81%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -12.43%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 19:10
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.94%E -4.71%K -98.81%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -12.43%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.94%E -4.71%K -98.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.79%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.94%E -4.71%K -98.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.79%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 19:10
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.94%E -4.71%K -98.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.79%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.85%E -5.62%K -146.15%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -14.79%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 18:59
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.85%E -5.62%K -146.15%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -14.79%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 18:59
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.13%E -2.93%K -44.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -19.53%E -2.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.94%E -4.71%K -98.81%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -19.53%E -2.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 18:59
TABtouch🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -24.26%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -24.26%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:10
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -24.26%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -24.26%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -24.26%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:10
PlayUp🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -24.26%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.04%E -3.81%K -67.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -24.26%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-03-12 18:59
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-03-12 19:10
Polymarket1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-03-12 19:10
ProphetX1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%2.5%2026-03-12 19:10
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 91.37%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.63%4.2%2026-03-12 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%6.2%2026-03-12 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%6.2%2026-03-12 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.79%7.8%2026-03-12 19:10