默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arizona St Sun Devils v Kansas Jayhawks

开赛时间: 2026-03-04 02:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arizona St Sun Devils (主队)

预测 30.99%3.23公平赔率
EV +5.38%
优势 +1.58%
Kelly +2.24%
增长率 +0.120%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
28.08%30.75%31.07%32.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.053.003.4035.71%32.82%33.33%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kansas Jayhawks (客队)

预测 69.01%1.45公平赔率
EV -3.39%
优势 -2.42%
Kelly -8.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.40

博彩公司预测分布
67.31%69.25%68.93%71.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.381.381.4076.92%72.54%72.46%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Arizona St Sun Devils (主队):30.99%;Kansas Jayhawks (客队):69.01%。 对于“Arizona St Sun Devils (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.23。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.40,对应+5.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +5.38%E +1.58%K +2.24%G +0.120%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -8.22%E -6.18%K -24.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 02:10
SportsBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV +3.21%E +0.963%K +1.38%G +0.044%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -10.29%E -7.92%K -34.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 02:10
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +2.28%E +0.690%K +0.990%G +0.023%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -6.15%E -4.52%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 02:10
BetUS🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV +0.106%E +0.033%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -4.77%E -3.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 02:05
Caesars🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -0.203%E -0.063%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -6.15%E -4.52%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 02:05
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -0.823%E -0.257%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.77%E -3.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.13%E -0.355%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.77%E -3.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.13%E -0.355%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.77%E -3.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 02:04
GTbets🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.37%E -0.753%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.77%E -3.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 01:59
Pinnacle🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.08%E -2.94%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 01:59
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 01:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 01:59
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.46%E -3.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.77%E -3.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 01:59
888sport🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.15%E -4.52%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.15%E -4.52%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.15%E -4.52%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:59
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:05
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.77%E -3.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 02:05
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.15%E -4.52%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 02:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.15%E -4.52%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 02:05
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.84%E -5.07%K -19.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:59
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.84%E -5.07%K -19.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:59
1xBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -7.33%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -5.46%E -3.99%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 01:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:05
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.39%E -2.42%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:05
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.77%E -3.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.77%E -3.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 02:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.15%E -4.52%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:59
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.77%E -3.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 02:05
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.22%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.15%E -4.52%K -17.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.22%E -4.72%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.15%E -4.52%K -17.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 02:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly3.35I 29.85%NM 29.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 70.08%-0.2%2026-03-04 01:59
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-03-04 02:05
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-03-04 02:05
Novig3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%1.6%2026-03-04 02:10
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%5.8%2026-03-04 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%7.1%2026-03-04 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%9.7%2026-03-04 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%9.7%2026-03-04 02:10