默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arizona St Sun Devils v Hofstra Pride

2026-11-11 02:00 UTC — NCAAB

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

92%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arizona St Sun Devils (主队)

预测 92.30%1.08公平赔率

EV -2.16%

优势 -2.04%

Kelly -36.05%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.06

博彩公司预测分布

89.46%92.16%92.59%93.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.021.041.041.0698.04%96.46%96.62%94.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hofstra Pride (客队)

预测 7.70%12.99公平赔率

EV +7.81%

优势 +0.558%

Kelly +0.601%

增长率 +0.047%

假设最高赔率为 14.00

博彩公司预测分布

6.91%7.84%7.41%10.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

9.0011.3510.7514.0011.11%8.81%9.30%7.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Arizona St Sun Devils (主队)：92.30%；Hofstra Pride (客队)：7.70%。对于“Hofstra Pride (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.99。有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为14.00，由此产生+7.81%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.01%E -3.85%K -100.22%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +7.81%E +0.558%K +0.601%G +0.047%	3.3%	2026-11-10 00:25
Fanatics🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.09%E -2.94%K -61.72%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +0.112%E +0.009%K +0.009%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-11-09 22:05
FanDuel🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.93%E -4.79%K -164.40%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.112%E +0.009%K +0.009%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-10 00:45
Bet Right🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.93%E -4.79%K -164.40%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.112%E +0.009%K +0.009%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-10 00:49
888sport🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.85%E -5.74%K -292.75%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.112%E +0.009%K +0.009%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.85%E -5.74%K -292.75%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.112%E +0.009%K +0.009%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 23:45
888sport (SE)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.85%E -5.74%K -292.75%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.112%E +0.009%K +0.009%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.53%EV -4.93%E -4.79%K -164.40%G +0.000%	12.75I 7.84%NM 7.47%EV -1.81%E -0.142%K -0.154%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-10 00:50
BetMGM🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.09%E -2.94%K -61.72%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -15.29%E -1.39%K -1.53%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 00:45
picklebet_au🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.93%E -4.79%K -164.40%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -19.14%E -1.82%K -2.01%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-11-10 02:00
Paddy Power🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.01%E -3.85%K -100.22%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.99%E -2.30%K -2.55%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-09 21:59
1xBet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.01%E -3.85%K -100.22%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.99%E -2.30%K -2.55%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-10 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.01%E -3.85%K -100.22%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.99%E -2.30%K -2.55%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-10 00:20
Coral🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.01%E -3.85%K -100.22%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.99%E -2.30%K -2.55%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-10 00:25
SportsBet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.93%E -4.79%K -164.40%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.99%E -2.30%K -2.55%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-10 00:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.93%E -4.79%K -164.40%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.99%E -2.30%K -2.55%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-10 00:20
Neds🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.16%E -2.04%K -36.05%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -30.69%E -3.41%K -3.84%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-10 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.16%E -2.04%K -36.05%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -30.69%E -3.41%K -3.84%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-10 00:20

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16%	14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%	2.2%	2026-11-09 22:10
Polymarket◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%	6.2%	2026-11-10 02:00

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