Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors

2026-10-23 23:10 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

40%

60%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Wizards (Local)

Predicción 39.97%2.50momio equitativo

EV +1.52%

Ventaja +0.597%

Kelly +0.985%

Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

37.75%39.87%40.00%41.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.102.352.382.5447.62%42.50%42.02%39.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Raptors (Visitante)

Predicción 60.03%1.67momio equitativo

EV -0.346%

Ventaja -0.208%

Kelly -0.524%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

58.14%60.13%60.00%62.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.491.571.571.6667.11%63.57%63.69%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Washington Wizards (Local): 39.97%; Toronto Raptors (Visitante): 60.03%. Para Washington Wizards (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.50. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.54, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.52%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
DraftKings🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV +1.52%E +0.597%K +0.985%G +0.015%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-22 05:44
Pinnacle🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV +0.718%E +0.285%K +0.472%G +0.003%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-22 08:33
TAB🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.081%E -0.033%K -0.054%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-22 05:45
Caesars🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.881%E -0.355%K -0.595%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-22 06:15
Coolbet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.08%E -0.849%K -1.43%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-22 05:44
Fanatics🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.08%E -0.849%K -1.43%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-22 06:39
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-22 06:40
PlayUp🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-22 06:39
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-22 06:26
Unibet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-22 06:26
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-22 06:26
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-22 06:26
BetRivers🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-22 06:25
TABtouch🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-22 06:26
betPARX🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-22 06:26
ATG (SE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-22 06:26
Svenska Spel🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-22 06:26
Bally Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-22 06:26
NordicBet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-22 08:32
Betsson🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-22 08:32
Bet Right🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-22 07:20
888sport🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-22 05:20
William Hill🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-22 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-22 05:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-22 05:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-22 06:25
FanDuel🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.68%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.75%E -1.70%K -4.43%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-22 05:15
SportsBet🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.68%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.75%E -1.70%K -4.43%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-22 05:15
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-22 05:20
Virgin Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-22 06:26
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -7.28%E -3.14%K -5.51%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-22 05:34
ReBet🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -7.28%E -3.14%K -5.51%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-22 05:35
1xBet🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -7.68%E -3.32%K -5.86%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -0.346%E -0.208%K -0.524%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-10-22 05:30
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-22 05:45
BoyleSports🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-10-22 05:20
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.64%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-22 06:54
PMU (FR)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -9.35%E -6.19%K -18.33%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-10-22 06:26
Paddy Power🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.75%E -1.70%K -4.43%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-22 05:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.75%E -1.70%K -4.43%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-22 05:25
Sky Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.75%E -1.70%K -4.43%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-22 05:35
betano_uk🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-22 05:38
picklebet_au🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-22 05:35
Bet Victor🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-22 05:35
Codere (IT)🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 41.07%EV -11.67%E -5.28%K -9.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.93%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-10-22 05:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.07%E -5.49%K -10.06%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-10-22 05:20
LeoVegas🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -12.07%E -5.49%K -10.06%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-10-22 06:35
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 58.50%EV -10.55%E -7.08%K -21.53%G +0.000%	14.7%	2026-10-22 05:44

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%	0.6%	2026-10-22 08:33
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%	0.6%	2026-10-22 08:33
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%	0.6%	2026-10-22 08:33
Polymarket◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%	1.2%	2026-10-22 07:05
Smarkets◎	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%	1.3%	2026-10-22 08:33
Kalshi◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%	2.0%	2026-10-22 08:15

Arbitraje (2 combinaciones) +0.39%DraftKings 2.54 (39.5%) / 1xBet 1.66 (60.5%)Ver las 2 combinaciones

DraftKings🎯 1xBet🎯 Pinnacle🎯

Washington Wizards (Local)	Toronto Raptors (Visitante)	Margen
DraftKings🎯 2.54 (39.5%)	1xBet🎯 1.66 (60.5%)	+0.390%
Pinnacle🎯 2.52 (39.7%)	1xBet🎯 1.66 (60.3%)	+0.077%