Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Wizards v Charlotte Hornets

Inicio: 2026-02-22 23:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Wizards (Local)

Predicción 19.99%5.00momio equitativo
EV +4.95%
Ventaja +0.942%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.058%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.35%20.03%20.17%22.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.154.814.805.2524.10%20.78%20.83%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Charlotte Hornets (Visitante)

Predicción 80.01%1.25momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -10.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.86%79.97%79.83%81.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.151.191.191.2286.96%84.12%84.03%81.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Wizards (Local): 19.99%; Charlotte Hornets (Visitante): 80.01%. Para Washington Wizards (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.00. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.95%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +4.95%E +0.942%K +1.16%G +0.058%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +4.95%E +0.942%K +1.16%G +0.058%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +4.95%E +0.942%K +1.16%G +0.058%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +4.95%E +0.942%K +1.16%G +0.058%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯5.01I 19.96%NM 19.32%EV +0.148%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.68%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 22:45
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.79%E -4.02%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 22:35
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.79%E -4.02%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 22:34
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 22:34
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 22:40
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 22:45
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 22:45
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 22:44
Bally Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 22:44
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 22:05
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 22:09
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.052%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 22:15
1xBet🎯4.98I 20.08%NM 19.68%EV -0.452%E -0.091%K -0.114%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.32%EV -2.39%E -1.96%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.0%2026-02-22 22:30
Pinnacle🎯4.97I 20.12%NM 19.45%EV -0.652%E -0.131%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.55%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -1.05%E -0.212%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV -1.45%E -0.294%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -4.79%E -4.02%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 22:45
Fliff🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.05%E -0.419%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.79%E -4.02%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.05%E -0.419%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.39%E -5.46%K -37.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 22:50
LeoVegas🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -2.05%E -0.419%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.99%E -6.95%K -53.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 22:25
SportsBet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.05%E -0.629%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 22:49
Bet Victor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -2.39%E -1.96%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 23:03
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 23:00
Coolbet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 22:45
TAB🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 22:45
GTbets🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 22:44
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.05%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.19%E -2.63%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 23:05
BetUS🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.19%E -2.63%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 22:45
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 22:44
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 22:35
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 22:45
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 22:45
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.05%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.79%E -4.02%K -25.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 22:48
MyBookie.ag🎯4.73I 21.14%NM 20.10%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.90%EV -4.79%E -4.02%K -25.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 22:48
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.19%E -2.63%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 23:04
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.79%E -4.02%K -25.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 22:49
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.79%E -4.02%K -25.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 22:50
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -6.05%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.19%E -6.20%K -44.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:45
Caesars🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.19%E -2.63%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 22:44
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 22:45
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.05%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -9.05%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.79%E -4.02%K -25.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 22:45
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 21:45
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 23:00
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.05%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -12.05%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.79%E -4.02%K -25.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 23:04
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.45%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 22:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.45%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.99%E -3.32%K -19.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -17.04%E -4.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -5.59%E -4.74%K -31.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 23:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly5.35I 18.69%NM 18.69%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.31%-0.0%2026-02-22 22:59
ProphetX5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%0.3%2026-02-22 23:05
Novig5.08I 19.69%NM 19.62%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.38%0.3%2026-02-22 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-02-22 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-02-22 23:05
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-02-22 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-02-22 23:05
Polymarket5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-02-22 22:39
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-02-22 22:50
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%2.4%2026-02-22 23:05