Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Utah Jazz v Philadelphia 76ers

Inicio: 2026-03-22 01:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Utah Jazz (Local)

Predicción 33.17%3.01momio equitativo
EV +2.51%
Ventaja +0.811%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.030%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.35%33.07%33.22%34.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.892.883.0937.04%34.58%34.72%32.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante)

Predicción 66.83%1.50momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.741%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.70%66.93%66.78%68.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.371.421.421.4872.99%70.26%70.42%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Utah Jazz (Local): 33.17%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante): 66.83%. Para Utah Jazz (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.01. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.09, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.51%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV +2.51%E +0.811%K +1.20%G +0.030%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-22 01:29
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +1.18%E +0.387%K +0.576%G +0.007%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 01:33
BetUS🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV +0.517%E +0.171%K +0.255%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.478%E -0.159%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 01:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.478%E -0.159%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 01:34
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.478%E -0.159%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 01:19
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -0.478%E -0.159%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 01:29
SportsBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -1.47%E -0.496%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 01:34
Bet Victor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.14%E -0.724%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.10%E -2.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 01:23
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.14%E -0.724%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.14%E -0.724%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 01:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.14%E -0.724%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 01:15
theScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.14%E -0.724%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 01:24
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.14%E -0.724%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 01:35
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.14%E -0.724%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 01:35
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.14%E -0.724%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 01:29
FanDuel🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -2.47%E -0.840%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 01:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -2.47%E -0.840%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 01:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -3.10%E -2.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 01:20
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:44
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 01:19
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 01:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 18:44
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:34
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:15
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:24
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 01:24
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 13:20
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -1.10%E -0.741%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-22 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 01:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.10%E -2.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 01:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:29
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 01:29
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 01:34
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 01:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 01:24
ReBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -4.79%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.10%E -2.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.79%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 01:19
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.79%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 01:19
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.10%E -2.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 01:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 01:24
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 18:43
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 01:20
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 18:44
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 18:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 01:20
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 01:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 01:19
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 01:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 01:30
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.10%E -2.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 20:04
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.10%E -2.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 01:19
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 01:20
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:44
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:44
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 01:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.11%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 01:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -9.77%E -3.59%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 01:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.43%E -3.86%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 01:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97%0.1%2026-03-22 01:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-03-22 01:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-03-22 01:35
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-03-22 01:34
Novig3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%0.4%2026-03-22 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-22 01:34
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-03-22 01:25
Polymarket3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-03-22 01:29
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-03-22 01:34
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%1.8%2026-03-22 01:35