Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Utah Jazz v Milwaukee Bucks

Inicio: 2026-03-20 01:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Utah Jazz (Local)

Predicción 31.84%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.418%
Kelly -0.617%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.80%31.90%31.82%34.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.962.953.1036.36%33.79%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Bucks (Visitante)

Predicción 68.16%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -4.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.95%68.10%68.18%69.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.411.411.4474.63%71.11%70.92%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Utah Jazz (Local): 31.84%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visitante): 68.16%. Para Utah Jazz (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.14. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.10, con un valor esperado de -1.30%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.30%E -0.418%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-20 00:53
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.30%E -0.418%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 01:04
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.30%E -0.418%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 00:35
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.30%E -0.418%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:46
LowVig.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -2.57%E -0.840%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 00:54
1xBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -2.89%E -0.947%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -1.85%E -1.28%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-20 00:39
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.89%E -0.947%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 00:55
Everygame🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.89%E -0.947%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:50
BetAnything🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.89%E -0.947%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.89%E -0.947%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 01:04
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.89%E -0.947%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:48
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.89%E -0.947%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 00:54
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -3.84%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -2.53%E -1.77%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 00:40
Coolbet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -3.84%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 23:04
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 00:28
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 20:04
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 23:50
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 01:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:00
GTbets🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:54
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 01:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.62%E -4.83%K -17.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 00:14
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 01:04
SportsBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 01:04
ReBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 00:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 00:33
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.12%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 00:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -5.12%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 00:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.53%E -1.77%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 00:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.53%E -1.77%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 01:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.53%E -1.77%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 00:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.53%E -1.77%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 01:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 01:00
Bet Right🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -7.03%E -2.41%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.46%EV -7.03%E -2.41%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.54%EV -8.67%E -6.47%K -25.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 01:03
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -1.85%E -1.28%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 00:49
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 01:05
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:54
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 00:59
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 01:05
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 01:05
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 00:44
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 00:44
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 01:05
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 01:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.62%E -4.83%K -17.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 00:54
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 23:44
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:20
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 01:04
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:54
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:54
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 00:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 01:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.44%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 00:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig3.16I 31.65%NM 31.45%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.55%0.6%2026-03-20 01:04
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-20 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-20 00:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-20 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-20 00:55
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-20 00:40
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-03-19 23:45
Polymarket3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-03-19 23:29
BetOpenly3.02I 33.11%NM 32.74%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%1.1%2026-03-20 00:59
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-03-20 00:55