La escuela de los momios

Toronto Raptors v Sacramento Kings

Inicio: 2026-04-02 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Predicción 84.20%1.19momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -14.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.03%84.13%84.20%86.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.131.131.1692.59%88.35%88.50%86.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sacramento Kings (Visitante)

Predicción 15.80%6.33momio equitativo
EV +13.15%
Ventaja +1.84%
Kelly +2.13%
Crecimiento +0.281%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.73%15.87%15.80%17.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.256.096.007.1619.05%16.42%16.67%13.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 86.27%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%7.16I 13.97%NM 13.73%EV +13.15%E +1.84%K +2.13%G +0.281%1.7%2026-04-01 23:34
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +6.67%E +0.988%K +1.16%G +0.077%3.3%2026-04-01 23:55
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +6.67%E +0.988%K +1.16%G +0.077%3.3%2026-04-01 23:55
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +6.67%E +0.988%K +1.16%G +0.077%3.3%2026-04-01 23:55
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +6.67%E +0.988%K +1.16%G +0.077%3.3%2026-04-01 23:55
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.72%E +0.419%K +0.495%G +0.013%4.7%2026-04-01 23:29
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.72%E +0.419%K +0.495%G +0.013%4.7%2026-04-01 23:55
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.72%E +0.419%K +0.495%G +0.013%4.7%2026-04-01 23:33
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.14%E +0.178%K +0.211%G +0.002%4.9%2026-04-01 23:55
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.14%E +0.178%K +0.211%G +0.002%4.9%2026-04-01 23:55
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.14%E +0.178%K +0.211%G +0.002%4.9%2026-04-01 23:55
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.14%E +0.178%K +0.211%G +0.002%4.9%2026-04-01 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.14%E +0.178%K +0.211%G +0.002%4.9%2026-04-01 23:55
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.14%E +0.178%K +0.211%G +0.002%4.9%2026-04-01 23:55
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.14%E +0.178%K +0.211%G +0.002%4.9%2026-04-01 23:55
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -0.440%E -0.070%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.23%E -0.197%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 23:24
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.23%E -0.197%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 23:25
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.23%E -0.197%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.54%E -5.89%K -59.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -1.23%E -0.197%K -0.234%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:55
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 84.53%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.23I 16.05%NM 15.47%EV -1.55%E -0.248%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:45
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -2.02%E -0.326%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:50
BetAnything1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -2.02%E -0.326%K -0.389%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:25
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 84.29%EV -3.17%E -2.76%K -21.16%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.71%EV -2.49%E -0.404%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-01 23:04
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -2.81%E -0.457%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 23:40
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -3.60%E -0.590%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 23:24
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -3.60%E -0.590%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -4.39%E -0.726%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:04
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:25
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:30
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:04
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:29
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:04
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:24
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:04
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:40
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:25
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:25
Dabble (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:55
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.38%E -6.71%K -73.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -5.18%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 23:55
Bet Victor1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.33%E -2.01%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -8.34%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 23:49
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.17%E -2.76%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -8.34%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:49
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.17%E -2.76%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -8.34%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:30
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.34%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.34%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:55
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.34%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:55
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -9.07%E -8.40%K -113.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -8.34%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 23:55
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.13%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:15
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.13%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:13
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.13%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:04
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -9.92%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -9.92%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -11.50%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:25
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.33%E -2.01%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -13.08%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:04
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.02%E -3.52%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.08%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 21:54
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.17%E -2.76%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -17.03%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:50
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.17%E -2.76%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -17.03%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%0.1%2026-04-01 23:55
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 85.96%7.10I 14.08%NM 14.04%0.3%2026-04-01 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-04-01 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-04-01 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-04-01 23:55
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-04-01 23:05
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 86.04%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.96%1.1%2026-04-01 23:45
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-04-01 23:55
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.9%2026-04-01 23:45
BetOpenly1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%3.1%2026-04-01 23:54