La escuela de los momios

Toronto Raptors v Oklahoma City Thunder

Inicio: 2026-02-25 00:42 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Predicción 50.21%1.99momio equitativo
EV +0.416%
Ventaja +0.208%
Kelly +0.416%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.05%50.13%50.00%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.891.902.0055.56%52.77%52.63%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 49.79%2.01momio equitativo
EV +0.580%
Ventaja +0.287%
Kelly +0.568%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%49.87%50.00%51.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.911.912.0254.64%52.27%52.36%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.11%E -2.70%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.580%E +0.287%K +0.568%G +0.003%2.4%2026-02-25 00:35
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV +0.082%E +0.041%K +0.081%G +0.000%2.1%2026-02-25 00:09
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.416%E -0.208%K -0.416%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 18:10
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -7.11%E -3.85%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.41%E -0.713%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 00:39
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-25 00:39
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.91%E -1.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 00:33
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.91%E -1.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:35
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.91%E -1.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:10
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.91%E -1.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.40%E -1.75%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.40%E -1.75%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 00:39
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 00:30
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 00:30
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 00:30
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.11%E -2.70%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:09
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.11%E -2.70%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 00:20
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 00:30
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 00:24
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 00:24
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 00:25
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 00:19
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.11%E -2.70%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.40%E -2.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 00:29
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.11%E -2.70%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.40%E -2.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 00:29
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.40%E -2.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:25
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.60%E -1.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 00:39
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 00:39
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:34
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:38
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:29
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:25
Bet Right1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.11%E -2.70%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 00:30
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:19
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:39
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.61%E -3.56%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 00:34
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.11%E -3.85%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 00:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.11%E -3.85%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 00:24
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.11%E -3.85%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:30
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:30
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:10
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:39
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:34
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:30
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:29
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -1.59%E -0.812%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.89%E -3.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 00:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.10%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.89%E -3.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:39
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -1.59%E -0.812%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:39
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 00:39
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 00:24
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 00:24
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:39
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:25
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 00:40
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV +0.416%E +0.208%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 00:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 00:24
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 00:34
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 00:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-02-25 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-02-25 00:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-02-25 00:40
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-02-25 00:39
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-02-25 00:40
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-02-25 00:34
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-02-25 00:40
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%5.1%2026-02-25 00:39
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 46.83%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%6.2%2026-02-25 00:40
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%7.1%2026-02-24 23:59