Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Raptors v New York Knicks

Inicio: 2026-03-04 00:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Predicción 43.52%2.30momio equitativo
EV +0.089%
Ventaja +0.039%
Kelly +0.069%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.86%43.53%43.52%44.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.58%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Knicks (Visitante)

Predicción 56.48%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.660%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.27%56.47%56.48%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.26%59.17%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Toronto Raptors (Local): 43.52%; New York Knicks (Visitante): 56.48%. Para Toronto Raptors (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.298. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.300, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.089%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.089%E +0.039%K +0.069%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-03 23:15
Coolbet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.781%E -0.343%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.24%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:20
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.65%E -0.731%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.09%E -0.927%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 21:05
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.09%E -0.927%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.09%E -0.927%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.09%E -0.927%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.09%E -0.927%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:10
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.09%E -0.927%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.50%E -5.25%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 00:25
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.52%E -1.13%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -3.39%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -2.85%E -1.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 00:35
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.39%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:15
SportsBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.39%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:15
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.39%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:35
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -1.15%E -0.660%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-04 00:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.85%E -1.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.85%E -1.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 23:35
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:35
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:35
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:34
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 19:10
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 21:10
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:45
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 21:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 21:05
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.24%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.24%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 00:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.24%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 00:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 22:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -5.13%E -2.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.28%E -1.32%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 23:34
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.13%E -2.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:25
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.13%E -2.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:25
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.13%E -2.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:25
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.13%E -2.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:25
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.13%E -2.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:10
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.13%E -2.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 19:10
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.13%E -2.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.13%E -2.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:40
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.13%E -2.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.13%E -2.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.00%E -2.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 00:25
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.44%E -2.99%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.72%E -0.988%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.44%E -2.99%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -2.99%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:30
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.44%E -2.99%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 00:30
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -2.99%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -2.99%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 21:20
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -2.99%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 21:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -2.99%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 00:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.44%E -2.99%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 22:40
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -6.87%E -3.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -9.05%E -4.33%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.79%E -5.26%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 00:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%-0.0%2026-03-04 00:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-03-04 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-03-04 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-03-04 00:35
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.96%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.04%0.8%2026-03-04 00:35
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-03-04 00:35
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-03-04 00:35
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-03-03 22:35
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-03-04 00:30
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-03-04 00:35