La escuela de los momios

Toronto Raptors v New Orleans Pelicans

Inicio: 2026-03-28 00:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Predicción 73.93%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -7.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.61%73.94%73.84%76.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.291.291.3281.97%77.76%77.52%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante)

Predicción 26.07%3.84momio equitativo
EV +4.26%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.061%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%26.06%26.16%27.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.673.704.0028.57%27.24%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.26%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.061%5.0%2026-03-28 00:39
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +0.351%E +0.091%K +0.123%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-28 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +0.351%E +0.091%K +0.123%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-28 00:40
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +0.351%E +0.091%K +0.123%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-28 00:40
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +0.351%E +0.091%K +0.123%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-28 00:40
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.351%E +0.091%K +0.123%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.351%E +0.091%K +0.123%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.953%E -0.251%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 00:39
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.953%E -0.251%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 00:40
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.953%E -0.251%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:40
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.953%E -0.251%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:38
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.953%E -0.251%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:40
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.953%E -0.251%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:40
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.10%E -4.81%K -22.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.953%E -0.251%K -0.340%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.58%E -6.07%K -30.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.953%E -0.251%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 00:40
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:39
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:40
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:29
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:40
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:40
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:40
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:40
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:40
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.81%K -22.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:40
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.81%K -22.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.81%K -22.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:40
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.90%EV -3.15%E -2.40%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV -3.30%E -0.889%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-28 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 00:29
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 00:29
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.10%E -4.81%K -22.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.56%E -0.962%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:40
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.55%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.45%EV -4.34%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-28 00:39
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -4.34%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:40
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 00:39
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -5.64%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:29
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.15%E -2.40%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:39
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.15%E -2.40%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:39
Everygame1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.15%E -2.40%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:39
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:40
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:31
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:40
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.10%E -4.81%K -22.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-28 00:40
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.27%EV -9.06%E -7.37%K -39.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-28 00:28
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -9.80%E -8.03%K -44.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:40
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.41%E -1.82%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 00:40
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.15%E -2.40%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 00:40
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 00:40
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 00:40
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:40
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:30
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 00:40
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.10%E -4.81%K -22.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 00:40
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-28 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-28 00:40
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-28 00:40
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-28 00:40
BetOpenly1.31I 76.34%NM 75.70%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.30%0.8%2026-03-28 00:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 75.24%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.76%1.5%2026-03-28 00:40
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-03-28 00:40
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-03-28 00:40