Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Raptors v Detroit Pistons

Inicio: 2026-03-15 19:42 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Predicción 42.33%2.36momio equitativo
EV +1.58%
Ventaja +0.659%
Kelly +1.13%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.85%42.35%42.33%44.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.262.252.4046.51%44.28%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Pistons (Visitante)

Predicción 57.67%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.84%57.65%57.67%60.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.651.661.7063.29%60.43%60.24%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Toronto Raptors (Local): 42.33%; Detroit Pistons (Visitante): 57.67%. Para Toronto Raptors (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.36. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.58%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.58%E +0.659%K +1.13%G +0.018%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.30%E -5.22%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 19:40
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.534%E -0.227%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.57%E -4.05%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 19:39
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.534%E -0.227%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.72%E -4.83%K -12.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.534%E -0.227%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.72%E -4.83%K -12.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.80%E -0.777%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-15 19:39
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.53%E -1.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-15 19:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 19:40
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 19:40
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 19:40
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 19:39
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 19:30
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 19:40
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.57%E -4.05%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 19:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.72%E -4.83%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:29
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.07%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 19:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.07%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.41%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 19:28
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 19:40
ReBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 19:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 19:29
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.34%E -1.92%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.11%E -1.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 19:40
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.34%E -1.92%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.34%E -1.92%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 19:31
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.11%E -1.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.11%E -1.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 19:30
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 19:40
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 19:40
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 19:40
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 19:40
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 19:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.57%E -4.05%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 19:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.61%E -2.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:40
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.61%E -2.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.61%E -2.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.61%E -2.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.41%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.61%E -2.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 19:39
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -6.04%E -2.72%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.53%E -1.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.04%E -2.72%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.72%E -4.83%K -12.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 19:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.11%E -1.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 19:40
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.68%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 19:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.41%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 19:40
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.57%E -4.05%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.88%E -5.62%K -15.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 19:39
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.73%E -3.55%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.11%E -1.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:40
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.73%E -3.55%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.11%E -1.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:40
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.00%E -4.19%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-03-15 19:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-15 19:40
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-03-15 19:40
BetOpenly2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-03-15 19:29
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-15 19:40
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-03-15 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-03-15 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-03-15 19:40
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-03-15 19:40