La escuela de los momios

Toronto Raptors v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-05-01 23:42 UTC

Final: Toronto Raptors 112–110 Cleveland Cavaliers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Predicción 36.75%2.72momio equitativo
EV -0.044%
Ventaja -0.016%
Kelly -0.025%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.56%36.93%36.65%38.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.372.582.602.7242.19%38.81%38.46%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 63.25%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.851%
Kelly -2.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.40%63.07%63.35%64.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.511.511.5668.97%66.07%66.23%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -0.044%E -0.016%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-01 23:39
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.779%E -0.288%K -0.458%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.76%E -3.86%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:38
SportsBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -1.88%E -0.705%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 23:39
FanDuel2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.25%E -0.845%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 23:40
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.62%E -0.987%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:37
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.62%E -0.987%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 23:39
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.62%E -0.987%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 23:39
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.62%E -0.987%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.62%E -0.987%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 23:39
DraftKings2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 23:39
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -3.35%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -1.96%E -1.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 23:39
BetUS2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.35%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 23:39
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.35%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -3.35%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 23:39
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.72%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-01 23:39
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.72%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:39
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.72%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 23:40
BetOnline.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.09%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 23:39
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 23:35
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 23:39
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 23:39
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 23:39
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 23:39
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:40
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:40
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 23:29
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 23:31
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 23:32
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 23:30
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 23:29
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 23:39
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 23:39
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 23:39
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -5.56%E -2.16%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -8.29%E -5.71%K -18.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 23:29
MyBookie.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -5.92%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 23:32
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.33%E -0.851%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-01 23:39
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.96%E -1.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 23:39
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:39
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:39
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:39
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:39
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:40
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:39
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:39
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:39
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:39
Dabble (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:39
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:39
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:39
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 23:28
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.96%E -1.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 23:40
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.96%E -1.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 23:30
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:39
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:39
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 23:39
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.97%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 23:39
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.97%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 23:39
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.97%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -5.76%E -3.86%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 23:39
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.71%K -18.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 23:39
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.60%EV -12.91%E -5.45%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.40%EV -5.76%E -3.86%K -11.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 23:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%0.1%2026-05-01 23:40
BetOpenly2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-05-01 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-05-01 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-05-01 23:40
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-05-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-05-01 23:39
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-05-01 23:39
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-05-01 23:39
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%1.3%2026-05-01 23:39
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%2.7%2026-05-01 23:40