Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Raptors v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-04-24 00:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Predicción 43.07%2.32momio equitativo
EV +1.22%
Ventaja +0.521%
Kelly +0.907%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.66%43.08%42.97%45.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.072.212.202.3548.31%45.27%45.45%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 56.93%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.878%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%56.92%57.03%59.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.681.7362.50%59.50%59.52%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Toronto Raptors (Local): 43.07%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante): 56.93%. Para Toronto Raptors (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.32. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.22%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +1.22%E +0.521%K +0.907%G +0.011%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 23:09
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.22%E +0.521%K +0.907%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.35%E -5.19%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 23:29
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.068%E -0.029%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 00:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.929%E -0.404%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 23:09
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.929%E -0.404%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 00:01
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.929%E -0.404%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.929%E -0.404%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.92%E -5.57%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:00
theScore Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.22%E -0.979%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.09%E -1.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-23 23:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.22%E -0.979%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.80%E -2.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 23:08
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.08%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:03
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.08%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.80%E -2.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 23:09
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.08%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.80%E -2.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 23:00
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.08%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.80%E -2.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 23:09
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.08%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 23:49
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.08%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 00:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.08%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:04
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.08%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 12:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.08%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.08%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 00:04
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.51%E -1.57%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:25
SportsBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.51%E -1.57%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 23:55
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.51%E -1.57%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 00:05
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.38%E -1.97%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.80%E -2.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.66%E -1.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:49
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 00:04
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:49
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:49
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:04
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.67%E -2.59%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.80%E -2.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:40
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.10%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 00:04
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.10%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 00:04
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.10%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:55
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.10%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:34
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.10%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.10%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.53%E -3.01%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.53%E -3.01%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.53%E -3.01%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.23%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -6.53%E -3.01%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.35%E -5.19%K -13.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.66%E -1.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:38
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.80%E -2.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:04
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -7.82%E -3.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -8.25%E -3.87%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -8.92%E -5.57%K -14.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 00:04
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.54%E -4.54%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.52%E -0.878%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.54%E -4.54%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.52%E -0.878%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.54%E -4.54%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.52%E -0.878%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:49
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.54%E -4.54%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.52%E -0.878%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -10.84%E -5.23%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -7.78%E -4.80%K -12.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-24 00:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-04-24 00:04
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-04-24 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-24 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-24 00:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-24 00:05
BetOpenly2.37I 42.19%NM 41.77%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.23%1.0%2026-04-23 23:59
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-23 17:35
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-23 17:49
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-04-24 00:05
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.7%2026-04-24 00:04