Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Antonio Spurs v Portland Trail Blazers

Inicio: 2026-04-20 01:17 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 111–98 Portland Trail Blazers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Predicción 83.69%1.19momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -2.52%
Kelly -18.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.90%83.71%83.69%85.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.141.141.1690.91%87.76%87.72%86.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante)

Predicción 16.31%6.13momio equitativo
EV +10.91%
Ventaja +1.60%
Kelly +1.88%
Crecimiento +0.205%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.14%16.29%16.31%18.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.105.855.806.8019.61%17.10%17.24%14.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 83.69%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante): 16.31%. Para Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.13. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +10.91%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.23%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +10.91%E +1.60%K +1.88%G +0.205%4.0%2026-04-20 01:15
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.23%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +7.65%E +1.16%K +1.37%G +0.104%4.4%2026-04-20 01:15
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +6.02%E +0.926%K +1.09%G +0.066%4.7%2026-04-20 01:15
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +6.02%E +0.926%K +1.09%G +0.066%6.3%2026-04-20 01:15
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +1.12%E +0.181%K +0.216%G +0.002%3.8%2026-04-20 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.43%E -4.81%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +1.12%E +0.181%K +0.216%G +0.002%4.6%2026-04-20 01:15
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.43%E -4.81%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +1.12%E +0.181%K +0.216%G +0.002%4.6%2026-04-20 01:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.59%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +1.12%E +0.181%K +0.216%G +0.002%6.2%2026-04-20 01:15
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.31%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.69%EV +0.799%E +0.129%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.1%2026-04-20 01:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.29%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.71%EV +0.635%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.2%2026-04-20 01:15
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.25%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.75%EV +0.309%E +0.050%K +0.060%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-20 01:15
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV +0.309%E +0.050%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -1.32%E -0.218%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 01:15
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.14%E -0.356%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 01:15
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.14%E -0.356%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 01:15
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.14%E -0.356%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 01:14
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.14%E -0.356%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 01:15
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.14%E -0.356%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 01:15
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.14%E -0.356%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 01:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.14%E -0.356%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 01:14
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.43%E -4.81%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.14%E -0.356%K -0.427%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 01:15
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.43%E -4.81%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.14%E -0.356%K -0.427%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 01:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.43%E -4.81%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.14%E -0.356%K -0.427%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 01:15
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.14%E -0.356%K -0.427%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 01:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.14%E -0.356%K -0.427%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -2.92%E -2.52%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV -3.77%E -0.639%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-20 01:15
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -3.77%E -0.639%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 01:15
Bet Victor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.92%E -2.52%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -5.40%E -0.931%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 01:15
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -5.40%E -0.931%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -5.40%E -0.931%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 01:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -5.40%E -0.931%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 01:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -5.40%E -0.931%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 01:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -5.40%E -0.931%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 01:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.40%E -0.931%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 01:02
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -2.92%E -2.52%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -6.21%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-20 01:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -6.21%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 01:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.21%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 01:15
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.21%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 01:13
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.81%K -41.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.21%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 01:15
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.81%K -41.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.21%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 01:15
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.66%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 01:15
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.29%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 01:15
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.29%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 01:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.29%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 01:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.29%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 01:15
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.29%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 01:15
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.29%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 01:15
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.29%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 01:15
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.29%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 01:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.29%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.92%E -2.21%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 01:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.81%K -41.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.55%E -2.56%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 01:15
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.92%E -2.52%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -14.37%E -2.74%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 01:14
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.92%E -2.52%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -14.37%E -2.74%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 01:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -14.37%E -2.74%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 01:14
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -16.82%E -3.30%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 01:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%0.1%2026-04-20 01:15
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 85.77%6.99I 14.31%NM 14.23%0.5%2026-04-20 01:12
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-04-20 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-04-20 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-04-20 01:15
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-04-20 01:15
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-04-20 01:15
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36%2.4%2026-04-20 01:15
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-04-20 01:15