La escuela de los momios

San Antonio Spurs v Phoenix Suns

Inicio: 2026-03-20 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Predicción 79.09%1.26momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.908%
Kelly -4.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.34%79.14%79.04%82.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.211.211.2586.21%82.71%82.64%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Phoenix Suns (Visitante)

Predicción 20.91%4.78momio equitativo
EV +13.53%
Ventaja +2.49%
Kelly +3.05%
Crecimiento +0.413%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.73%20.86%20.96%23.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.524.505.4325.32%22.12%22.22%18.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.27%EV -7.46%E -6.38%K -43.90%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.73%EV +13.53%E +2.49%K +3.05%G +0.413%3.9%2026-03-20 00:08
BetAnything1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -7.46%E -6.38%K -43.90%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV +11.86%E +2.22%K +2.73%G +0.323%4.2%2026-03-20 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -7.46%E -6.38%K -43.90%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV +11.65%E +2.18%K +2.68%G +0.313%4.2%2026-03-20 00:10
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +9.77%E +1.86%K +2.30%G +0.225%3.8%2026-03-20 00:09
Everygame1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -7.46%E -6.38%K -43.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +9.77%E +1.86%K +2.30%G +0.225%4.5%2026-03-20 00:08
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.07%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +5.59%E +1.11%K +1.38%G +0.077%4.5%2026-03-20 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.54%E +0.908%K +1.14%G +0.052%4.7%2026-03-20 00:10
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.54%E +0.908%K +1.14%G +0.052%4.7%2026-03-20 00:09
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.54%E +0.908%K +1.14%G +0.052%4.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 79.93%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.07%EV +0.778%E +0.162%K +0.204%G +0.002%3.4%2026-03-20 00:09
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +0.360%E +0.075%K +0.095%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 00:08
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +0.360%E +0.075%K +0.095%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.46%E -6.38%K -43.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.360%E +0.075%K +0.095%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 00:09
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.46%E -6.38%K -43.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.360%E +0.075%K +0.095%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 00:09
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.685%E -0.144%K -0.183%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 00:09
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.685%E -0.144%K -0.183%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.685%E -0.144%K -0.183%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.73%E -0.368%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 00:10
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 00:09
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 00:09
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 00:09
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:08
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 00:06
Parions Sport (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -4.87%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 23:59
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:08
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:09
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:59
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:01
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.67%E -5.65%K -37.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 23:59
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -8.42%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:59
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.47%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.47%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:08
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 00:09
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 00:09
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 00:08
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -8.25%E -7.12%K -51.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-20 00:08
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.14%E -0.908%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 00:09
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.14%E -0.908%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 00:09
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.14%E -0.908%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 00:10
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.14%E -0.908%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 00:09
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -1.93%E -1.55%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 23:59
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -1.14%E -0.908%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 00:09
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -1.14%E -0.908%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 00:09
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -1.14%E -0.908%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 00:09
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -1.14%E -0.908%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 00:09
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.93%E -1.55%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.93%E -1.55%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.93%E -1.55%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.93%E -1.55%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 00:10
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%0.1%2026-03-20 00:09
ProphetX1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%0.2%2026-03-20 00:09
BetOpenly1.24I 80.65%NM 80.19%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.81%0.6%2026-03-19 23:59
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-20 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-20 00:09
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-03-20 00:09
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-03-20 00:10
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-03-20 00:10
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 81.30%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.70%1.7%2026-03-20 00:10