L’École des cotes

San Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 01:43 UTC

Score final : San Antonio Spurs 102–104 Minnesota Timberwolves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prévision 77.57%1.29cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -8.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.19%77.60%77.58%79.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.231.231.2684.75%81.45%81.30%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.43%4.46cote équitable
EV +3.17%
Avantage +0.689%
Kelly +0.881%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.87%22.40%22.42%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.264.254.6025.64%23.46%23.53%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +3.17%E +0.689%K +0.881%G +0.028%3.7%2026-05-05 01:40
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +2.05%E +0.450%K +0.577%G +0.012%3.9%2026-05-05 01:39
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +2.05%E +0.450%K +0.577%G +0.012%3.9%2026-05-05 01:39
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.91%E -5.76%K -34.57%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +2.05%E +0.450%K +0.577%G +0.012%5.3%2026-05-05 01:39
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.91%E -5.76%K -34.57%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +2.05%E +0.450%K +0.577%G +0.012%5.3%2026-05-05 01:39
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +0.927%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%4.2%2026-05-05 01:40
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.91%E -5.76%K -34.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.927%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%5.6%2026-05-05 01:39
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.38%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.62%EV +0.030%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 01:39
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.09%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.91%EV -0.867%E -0.196%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-05 01:34
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.37%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.63%EV -0.867%E -0.196%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 01:34
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -3.04%E -2.43%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -1.32%E -0.299%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-05 01:37
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -1.32%E -0.299%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 01:39
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.32%E -0.299%K -0.387%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.32%E -0.299%K -0.387%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 01:39
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.32%E -0.299%K -0.387%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 01:39
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54%EV -2.26%E -1.79%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%EV -2.44%E -0.560%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-05 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.44%E -0.560%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.44%E -0.560%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 01:40
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.44%E -0.560%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 01:39
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.44%E -0.560%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 01:39
Caesars1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.44%E -0.560%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 01:39
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.44%E -0.560%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 01:39
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.44%E -0.560%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 01:39
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.91%E -5.76%K -34.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.89%E -0.666%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.91%E -5.76%K -34.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.89%E -0.666%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.91%E -5.76%K -34.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.89%E -0.666%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 01:40
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.91%E -5.76%K -34.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.89%E -0.666%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 01:39
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.56%E -0.828%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 01:39
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.56%E -0.828%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 01:39
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.68%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.68%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 01:28
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.68%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 01:39
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.68%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 01:39
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.68%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 01:39
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.68%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 01:39
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.68%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 01:39
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.68%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 01:40
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 01:30
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 01:39
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 01:40
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 01:40
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 01:39
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 01:40
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.59%E -3.73%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 01:40
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 01:30
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.91%E -5.76%K -34.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 01:30
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.04%E -2.43%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 01:40
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.04%E -2.43%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 01:39
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.81%E -3.07%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 01:40
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 01:30
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 01:40
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.91%E -5.76%K -34.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 01:39
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.04%E -2.43%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 01:29
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.04%E -2.43%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.04%E -2.43%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 01:39
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.04%E -2.43%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 01:29
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.04%E -2.43%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 01:29
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 01:39
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.36%E -4.40%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 01:39
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.47%E -7.17%K -47.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 01:39
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -7.69%E -6.46%K -40.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -12.53%E -3.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 01:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%0.0%2026-05-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%0.0%2026-05-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-05 01:40
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-05-05 01:40
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-05-05 01:39
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.3%2026-05-05 01:40
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-05-05 01:40
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-05-05 01:39
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-05-05 01:40
BetOpenly1.13I 88.50%NM 80.28%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%10.2%2026-05-05 01:29