La escuela de los momios

San Antonio Spurs v Detroit Pistons

Inicio: 2026-03-06 01:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Predicción 57.51%1.74momio equitativo
EV +0.650%
Ventaja +0.372%
Kelly +0.867%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%57.57%57.41%60.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.651.7564.52%60.80%60.61%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Pistons (Visitante)

Predicción 42.49%2.35momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.469%
Kelly +0.808%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.74%42.43%42.59%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.132.262.252.3846.95%44.16%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV +1.12%E +0.469%K +0.808%G +0.009%1.9%2026-03-05 23:45
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.159%E -0.068%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 22:35
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.159%E -0.068%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 01:10
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.159%E -0.068%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 01:09
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.159%E -0.068%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 01:10
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.85%E -7.00%K -19.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.159%E -0.068%K -0.118%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -1.43%E -0.618%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 01:05
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -1.43%E -0.618%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -1.43%E -0.618%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -1.43%E -0.618%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -1.43%E -0.618%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:40
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -1.86%E -0.805%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 01:10
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.993%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 01:10
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.993%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 23:50
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.993%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 01:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.28%E -0.993%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 00:40
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.993%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 01:05
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.993%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 23:48
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.993%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.993%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.993%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.28%E -0.993%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 01:10
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 00:20
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-06 01:05
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:50
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 01:10
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 01:05
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-06 00:55
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 01:10
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 01:05
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 01:10
TAB1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 00:15
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 23:50
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 23:50
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 01:05
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 23:50
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 01:05
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:45
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 23:10
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 01:05
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 00:30
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:45
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 00:55
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 23:54
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -6.11%E -2.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV +0.650%E +0.372%K +0.867%G +0.006%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-06 00:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 23:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:09
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:10
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 23:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 23:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 01:10
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 00:50
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 01:05
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.41%EV -9.13%E -5.78%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.59%EV -9.51%E -4.46%K -8.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-03-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-06 01:10
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-06 01:10
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-03-06 00:59
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.23%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.77%1.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-05 23:50
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-03-06 01:10