La escuela de los momios

San Antonio Spurs v Charlotte Hornets

Inicio: 2026-03-14 19:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Predicción 67.71%1.48momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.787%
Kelly -2.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.85%67.56%67.80%69.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.411.421.4673.53%70.72%70.42%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Charlotte Hornets (Visitante)

Predicción 32.29%3.10momio equitativo
EV +1.72%
Ventaja +0.548%
Kelly +0.802%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.31%32.44%32.20%34.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.932.943.1537.04%34.13%34.01%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -7.24%E -5.29%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +1.72%E +0.548%K +0.802%G +0.014%4.7%2026-03-14 19:33
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.89%E -4.24%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 18:55
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.57%E -4.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:35
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.22%EV -3.18%E -2.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.78%EV -0.859%E -0.280%K -0.415%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-14 19:25
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -6.57%E -4.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -1.18%E -0.386%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:00
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.53%E -3.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.50%E -0.493%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:35
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -3.86%E -2.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -2.15%E -0.710%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 18:44
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV -3.86%E -2.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV -2.47%E -0.819%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 19:30
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.86%E -2.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 19:29
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.86%E -2.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 19:05
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.86%E -2.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 19:34
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.86%E -2.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 19:30
Everygame1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.86%E -2.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 18:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.53%E -3.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 19:30
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.53%E -3.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 19:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 18:45
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 18:45
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 19:35
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 18:40
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.24%E -5.29%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.92%E -5.82%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:29
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.92%E -5.82%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:00
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.86%E -2.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:25
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 67.04%EV -1.15%E -0.787%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.96%EV -4.09%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-14 19:05
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -3.86%E -2.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -4.41%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:35
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -1.83%E -1.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-14 19:16
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.53%E -3.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 19:31
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:30
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -3.18%E -2.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -5.06%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 19:35
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -3.86%E -2.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -5.06%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:29
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.53%E -3.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.70%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:30
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.24%E -5.29%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -5.70%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -1.83%E -1.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -6.35%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 19:30
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.50%E -1.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.35%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 19:35
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.35%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 19:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.35%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.35%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 18:44
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.35%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.50%E -1.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.50%E -1.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:25
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.50%E -1.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:25
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.50%E -1.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:25
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 19:27
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -1.83%E -1.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:35
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.50%E -1.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 19:20
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.18%E -2.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:20
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.18%E -2.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:20
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.18%E -2.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:20
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.18%E -2.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:30
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.50%E -1.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.58%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:35
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.50%E -1.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.58%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:35
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.18%E -2.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.58%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:30
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.18%E -2.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.58%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:25
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.18%E -2.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.58%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.18%E -2.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.58%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.18%E -2.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.58%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 19:25
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.58%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:35
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.19%E -4.07%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 19:25
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.21%E -3.72%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.81%E -4.74%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 67.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.61%-1.1%2026-03-14 19:25
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 68.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.82%-0.2%2026-03-14 19:29
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-14 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-14 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-14 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-14 19:35
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 68.41%3.14I 31.85%NM 31.59%0.8%2026-03-14 19:35
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-14 18:45
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-14 19:35
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-03-14 19:05