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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Sacramento Kings v San Antonio Spurs

2026-11-07 03:10 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Predicción 12.99%7.70momio equitativo
EV +17.16%
Ventaja +1.90%
Kelly +2.14%
Crecimiento +0.367%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.45%12.90%12.79%17.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.807.127.009.0220.83%14.05%14.29%11.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Antonio Spurs (Visitante)

Predicción 87.01%1.15momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -21.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.05%87.10%87.21%89.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.051.091.091.1295.24%91.88%91.74%89.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Sacramento Kings (Local): 12.99%; San Antonio Spurs (Visitante): 87.01%. Para Sacramento Kings (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.70. 6 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 9.02, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +17.16%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯9.02I 11.09%NM 10.69%EV +17.16%E +1.90%K +2.14%G +0.367%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.31%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-06 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +16.90%E +1.88%K +2.11%G +0.357%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -8.64%E -8.23%K -172.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 00:50
1xBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +10.40%E +1.22%K +1.39%G +0.144%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -5.16%E -4.73%K -57.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-06 00:55
FanDuel🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV +7.80%E +0.940%K +1.07%G +0.083%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -5.16%E -4.73%K -57.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-06 00:55
Fanatics🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.91%E +0.488%K +0.558%G +0.022%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.16%E -4.73%K -57.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 00:55
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.91%E +0.488%K +0.558%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-06 01:15
GTbets🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.74%EV -1.29%E -0.169%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.26%EV -3.42%E -3.08%K -31.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-06 00:55
Fliff🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -1.29%E -0.169%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.16%E -4.73%K -57.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-06 00:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.59%E -0.345%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-05 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.59%E -0.345%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 00:50
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.59%E -0.345%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.59%E -0.345%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.16%E -4.73%K -57.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-06 00:50
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.59%E -0.345%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 00:50
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.59%E -0.345%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.59%E -0.345%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.59%E -0.345%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.59%E -0.345%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 00:50
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.59%E -0.345%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 00:55
ReBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -5.18%E -0.710%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 00:50
DraftKings🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -7.78%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -3.42%E -3.08%K -31.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-05 21:19
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.42%E -3.08%K -31.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-05 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 21:44
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 21:44
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 21:45
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 21:45
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 21:44
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 21:45
theScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 22:34
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.16%E -4.73%K -57.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-05 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.16%E -4.73%K -57.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-05 21:45
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-06 00:50
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.08%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-06 00:49
Dabble (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -15.58%E -2.40%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.55%E -2.27%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-06 00:45
Betsson🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.58%E -2.40%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 00:45
NordicBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.58%E -2.40%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 00:45
picklebet_au🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.58%E -2.40%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-06 00:50
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -15.58%E -2.40%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -6.90%E -6.45%K -98.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-06 00:50
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -15.58%E -2.40%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -6.90%E -6.45%K -98.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-06 00:50
PMU (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.58%E -2.40%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -8.64%E -8.23%K -172.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-05 21:45
Betclic (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.23%EV -23.37%E -3.96%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 84.77%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 00:48
LeoVegas🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -25.32%E -4.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.19%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-06 00:50
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -29.86%E -5.53%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 83.59%EV -7.77%E -7.33%K -129.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-06 00:50
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 17.95%EV -37.66%E -7.84%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 82.05%EV -8.64%E -8.23%K -172.76%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-06 00:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97%1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03%0.3%2026-11-06 01:10
Kalshi◎9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-11-06 00:45
Polymarket◎9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-11-06 00:45
ProphetX◎8.90I 11.24%NM 11.09%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.91%1.3%2026-11-06 01:05
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%1.06I 94.34%NM 84.99%11.0%2026-11-06 00:50