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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Portland Trail Blazers v Oklahoma City Thunder

2026-11-11 04:10 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Trail Blazers (Local)

Predicción 47.28%2.12momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.800%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%47.20%47.37%48.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.802.002.002.0855.56%49.89%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 52.72%1.90momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -3.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.79%52.80%52.63%53.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.641.781.791.8460.98%56.04%55.87%54.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Portland Trail Blazers (Local): 47.28%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante): 52.72%. Para Portland Trail Blazers (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.12. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.08, con un valor esperado de -1.67%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%EV -1.67%E -0.800%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%EV -3.52%E -1.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.7%2026-11-10 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-10 01:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-10 01:35
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-10 01:35
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-10 01:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.15%E -3.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.15%E -3.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 01:35
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.68%E -3.77%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 01:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.73%E -4.42%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-10 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.73%E -4.42%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-10 01:40
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.52%E -1.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-09 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 01:45
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 01:45
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 01:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 01:45
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 01:45
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.15%E -3.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-10 01:45
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.15%E -3.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-10 01:45
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.03%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.04%E -2.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-10 01:50
DraftKings🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.03%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.04%E -2.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-09 23:40
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.50%E -2.23%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.52%E -1.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-10 01:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.50%E -2.23%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.04%E -2.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-09 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.50%E -2.23%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.68%E -3.77%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-10 01:45
SportsBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.97%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-10 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.52%E -1.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 23:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.52%E -1.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-10 01:35
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 23:30
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 23:30
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 23:30
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 23:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 23:29
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-10 01:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 23:30
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-10 01:45
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-10 01:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 23:40
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-10 01:20
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.68%E -3.77%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-09 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.45%E -2.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.21%E -4.09%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-10 01:45
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.39%E -3.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.52%E -1.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.39%E -3.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.04%E -2.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-09 23:35
picklebet_au🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.34%E -3.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -7.21%E -4.09%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-10 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.81%E -4.01%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.73%E -4.42%K -10.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-09 23:28
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.81%E -4.01%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.73%E -4.42%K -10.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-09 23:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.28%E -4.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -9.84%E -5.76%K -13.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-10 01:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.81%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -8.79%E -5.08%K -12.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-10 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -10.17%E -5.36%K -11.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.63%EV -9.84%E -5.76%K -13.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 23:45
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -11.12%E -5.92%K -12.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.79%EV -7.73%E -4.42%K -10.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-10 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.12%E -5.92%K -12.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -13.01%E -7.88%K -20.01%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-09 23:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.67%EV -14.90%E -8.28%K -18.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.33%EV -13.53%E -8.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%16.5%2026-11-09 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%-0.1%2026-11-10 02:00
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-11-10 01:50
ProphetX◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-11-10 02:00
Novig◎2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-11-10 01:40
BetOpenly◎2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%2.4%2026-11-10 01:45
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%10.2%2026-11-10 01:15