La escuela de los momios

Portland Trail Blazers v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-02-25 03:13 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Portland Trail Blazers (Local)

Predicción 32.52%3.07momio equitativo
EV +0.814%
Ventaja +0.263%
Kelly +0.388%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.11%32.62%32.49%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.942.953.1037.04%33.96%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 67.48%1.48momio equitativo
EV -0.805%
Ventaja -0.548%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%67.38%67.51%68.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.411.401.4773.53%70.90%71.43%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.814%E +0.263%K +0.388%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 03:10
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.814%E +0.263%K +0.388%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 03:10
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.814%E +0.263%K +0.388%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 03:10
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.814%E +0.263%K +0.388%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 03:09
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.812%E -0.266%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.85%E -3.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 03:08
Caesars3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.812%E -0.266%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 03:09
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.812%E -0.266%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 03:09
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.812%E -0.266%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 03:09
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.812%E -0.266%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 03:09
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.812%E -0.266%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 03:09
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.812%E -0.266%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.88%E -4.98%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 03:09
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.812%E -0.266%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.88%E -4.98%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 03:09
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.812%E -0.266%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.88%E -4.98%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 03:09
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -3.50%E -2.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-25 03:09
Coolbet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -1.79%E -0.592%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -4.85%E -3.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 03:06
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.44%E -0.813%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.50%E -2.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 03:10
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.44%E -0.813%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.18%E -2.94%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 03:09
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.44%E -0.813%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:09
Dabble (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.44%E -0.813%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:09
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.44%E -0.813%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.44%E -0.813%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.88%E -4.98%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 03:09
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.44%E -0.813%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.55%E -5.51%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 03:10
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.09%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.85%E -3.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 02:59
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -3.74%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.18%E -2.94%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 03:09
MyBookie.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -3.74%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 03:00
LowVig.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -2.83%E -1.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 03:10
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.50%E -2.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 03:09
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.18%E -2.94%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 03:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.85%E -3.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:00
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.85%E -3.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:01
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.85%E -3.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:09
888sport2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 02:59
888sport (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 02:59
Mr Green (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 02:59
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.20%E -4.46%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 03:04
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.20%E -4.46%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 03:09
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 03:09
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.23%E -6.05%K -22.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 03:01
FanDuel2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -3.50%E -2.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 03:10
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -5.04%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.50%E -2.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 03:10
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -0.805%E -0.548%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-25 03:09
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.83%E -1.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 03:09
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.50%E -2.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 03:03
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.18%E -2.94%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 03:09
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.18%E -2.94%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 03:09
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.18%E -2.94%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 03:09
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.18%E -2.94%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 03:09
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 03:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 03:10
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 03:09
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.34%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 03:09
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.34%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 02:59
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.34%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.34%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 02:58
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -1.48%E -1.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 03:10
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.15%E -1.49%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 03:09
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.50%E -2.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 03:09
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.15%E -1.49%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 03:09
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.83%E -1.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 03:10
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.83%E -1.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 03:09
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.83%E -1.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 03:10
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.50%E -2.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 03:09
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.50%E -2.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 03:09
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -12.19%E -4.52%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -6.88%E -4.98%K -18.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 03:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-02-25 03:10
BetOpenly3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-02-25 02:59
ProphetX3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-02-25 03:09
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-02-25 03:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-02-25 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-02-25 03:09
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-02-25 03:09
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-02-25 03:09
Novig3.04I 32.89%NM 32.44%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.56%1.4%2026-02-25 03:09
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.1%2026-02-25 03:09