La escuela de los momios

Portland Trail Blazers v Charlotte Hornets

Inicio: 2026-03-11 02:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Portland Trail Blazers (Local)

Predicción 42.85%2.33momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.627%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.62%43.06%42.58%46.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.202.202.3048.08%45.53%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Charlotte Hornets (Visitante)

Predicción 57.15%1.75momio equitativo
EV +1.72%
Ventaja +0.969%
Kelly +2.21%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.89%56.94%57.42%58.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.691.681.7863.29%59.32%59.52%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -7.44%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV +1.72%E +0.969%K +2.21%G +0.038%2.5%2026-03-11 02:09
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -10.87%E -5.23%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +1.72%E +0.969%K +2.21%G +0.038%4.3%2026-03-11 02:10
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV +0.582%E +0.331%K +0.766%G +0.004%3.3%2026-03-11 02:09
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -8.30%E -3.88%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 02:10
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -8.30%E -3.88%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 02:10
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -8.73%E -4.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 02:10
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.561%E -0.322%K -0.758%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 02:10
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.561%E -0.322%K -0.758%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 02:08
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.561%E -0.322%K -0.758%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 02:09
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.01%E -4.77%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.13%E -0.655%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 02:10
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.01%E -4.77%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.13%E -0.655%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.01%E -4.77%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.13%E -0.655%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 02:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -1.70%E -0.991%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 02:10
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 02:09
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 02:10
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 02:09
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 02:10
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 02:10
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-11 02:07
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:10
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:10
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:10
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:10
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:10
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 02:00
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.58%E -3.02%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 02:10
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 02:10
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 02:10
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 02:10
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 02:10
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 02:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.58%E -3.02%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 02:10
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.58%E -3.02%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 02:10
ReBet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 01:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 02:00
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 01:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 02:10
MyBookie.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 02:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:10
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:10
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:10
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:10
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 02:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 02:10
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:10
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 02:02
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.58%E -3.02%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 02:10
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 02:09
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 02:10
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 02:08
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 01:59
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 02:10
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Unibet (FR)2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -5.30%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 02:01
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 01:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 02:10
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 01:59
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%EV -6.58%E -3.02%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%EV -9.70%E -6.14%K -16.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 02:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-03-11 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-03-11 02:10
BetOpenly2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-03-11 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-03-11 02:10
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%0.6%2026-03-11 02:10
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-03-11 02:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-11 02:10
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-11 02:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-03-11 02:10
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.4%2026-03-11 02:10