Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Suns v Toronto Raptors

Inicio: 2026-03-23 01:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Predicción 38.78%2.58momio equitativo
EV +1.59%
Ventaja +0.608%
Kelly +0.984%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.56%38.58%38.96%40.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.292.472.462.6243.67%40.45%40.65%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Raptors (Visitante)

Predicción 61.22%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.888%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.17%61.42%61.04%63.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.21%64.10%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Phoenix Suns (Local): 38.78%; Toronto Raptors (Visitante): 61.22%. Para Phoenix Suns (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.58. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.62, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.59%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.59%E +0.608%K +0.984%G +0.016%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.55%E -5.00%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 00:59
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV +0.043%E +0.017%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-23 01:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV +0.043%E +0.017%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-23 00:59
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +0.043%E +0.017%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.33%E -4.14%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.345%E -0.134%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-23 00:59
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.12%E -0.439%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-23 00:54
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.12%E -0.439%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 00:58
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.12%E -0.439%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 00:49
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.12%E -0.439%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 00:59
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.12%E -0.439%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.72%E -3.71%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 00:54
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.12%E -0.439%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.33%E -4.14%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 01:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.12%E -0.439%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 00:59
Coolbet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -1.90%E -0.749%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 00:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.67%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.72%E -3.71%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:55
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.04%E -1.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-23 00:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 00:49
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 00:49
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 00:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 00:44
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 00:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 00:59
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 01:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.33%E -4.14%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 21:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.33%E -4.14%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:39
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -3.45%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.43%E -0.888%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-22 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 00:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 00:45
SportsBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -4.61%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.27%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 01:00
ReBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -4.61%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.27%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 21:34
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.65%E -1.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.27%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 21:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.27%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 21:34
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.27%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 00:34
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 00:44
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 00:45
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 00:44
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 00:44
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 01:04
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.33%E -4.14%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:45
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.33%E -4.14%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.33%E -4.14%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 00:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 00:58
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -5.39%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.27%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 01:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:44
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 00:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.16%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 21:35
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.16%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:55
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.16%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:34
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.16%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:34
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 01:03
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 01:04
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 00:45
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.33%E -4.14%K -11.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 00:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -8.10%E -3.42%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -5.72%E -3.71%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 00:48
Unibet (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -11.20%E -4.89%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -3.27%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 01:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88%1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12%-0.0%2026-03-23 00:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-03-23 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-03-23 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-03-23 01:05
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-03-23 01:05
ProphetX2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-03-23 01:05
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-03-23 00:59
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-03-23 01:05
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%1.5%2026-03-23 01:04
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-03-23 01:00