La escuela de los momios

Phoenix Suns v Portland Trail Blazers

Inicio: 2026-04-15 02:20 UTC

Final: Phoenix Suns 110–114 Portland Trail Blazers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Predicción 57.05%1.75momio equitativo
EV -0.163%
Ventaja -0.093%
Kelly -0.218%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%57.02%56.98%59.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.671.671.7562.89%59.86%59.88%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante)

Predicción 42.95%2.33momio equitativo
EV +0.934%
Ventaja +0.397%
Kelly +0.692%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.51%42.98%43.02%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.202.3547.62%45.02%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +0.934%E +0.397%K +0.692%G +0.006%2.1%2026-04-15 01:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.934%E +0.397%K +0.692%G +0.006%5.1%2026-04-15 02:10
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.21%E -0.528%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 00:15
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.21%E -0.528%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:54
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.21%E -0.528%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 00:14
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.44%E -3.93%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.21%E -0.528%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 02:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.21%E -0.528%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 02:10
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.15%E -5.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.21%E -0.528%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 02:09
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 02:14
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 00:40
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 02:10
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 02:14
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 02:09
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-15 01:54
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-15 02:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-15 01:52
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-15 02:00
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 02:04
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 02:10
TAB1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 01:05
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 01:54
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.44%E -3.93%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 01:55
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 10:54
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 02:04
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 02:04
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 01:15
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 01:15
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 01:15
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.22%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 01:15
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -5.08%E -2.30%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 01:55
ReBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 02:09
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 01:59
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 02:15
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 02:09
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 02:10
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 01:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 02:10
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 01:15
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 01:15
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 01:15
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 01:55
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:55
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 02:04
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 01:05
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 01:05
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 02:00
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -0.163%E -0.093%K -0.218%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 02:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 02:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -0.734%E -0.422%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 02:15
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.734%E -0.422%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 02:10
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.734%E -0.422%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 02:09
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 02:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 01:58
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 02:06
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.44%E -3.93%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 02:10
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.29%E -5.84%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 02:04
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.30%E -0.754%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 02:15
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 01:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-04-15 01:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-04-15 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-15 02:15
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-15 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-04-15 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-04-15 02:15
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-04-15 02:15
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-04-15 02:15
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-04-15 02:15